-Caveat Lector-

http://www.upi.com/print.cfm?StoryID=06062002-010307-1227r

US: Our embassy in Kabul will be attacked
By Pamela Hess
UPI Pentagon Correspondent
>From the International Desk
Published 6/6/2002 5:29 PM

BAGRAM AIR BASE, Afghanistan, June 6 (UPI) --  U.S. military
officials believe an attack on the American Embassy in Kabul is
being planned for the day after the end of the loya jirga, the Afghan
tribal council that is supposed to determine the country's political
future later this month.

On Wednesday, U.S. Marines guarding the embassy in Kabul
detained a man who was photographing the walled, strongly fortified
compound from a slow-moving white van. Military intelligence and
other sources said it was the second such incident in two weeks.
Earlier, another man in a maroon van had also been detained in the
same circumstances. The military newspaper Stars and Stripes first
reported the two detentions Thursday.

Violence is widely expected in Kabul during or immediately after the
six-day meeting that will bring together representatives of
Afghanistan's complex and conflict-ridden patchwork of ethnic
groups and tribes.

"Something is definitely going to happen," a military official told
United Press International.

U.S. officials are on special alert for car bombs. Suicide bombers
are not expected to be part of the assault, according to another
military official who spoke to UPI.

The U.S. Embassy in Kabul's New City quarter was reopened earlier
this year following the collapse of the Islamic militant Taliban
regime.

The loya jirga, which ends on June 16, faces the complex task of
choosing a new interim government that will draft a new Afghan
constitution and organize democratic elections.

On Wednesday, Human Rights Watch published the report of a
fact-finding mission to the still-troubled south of Afghanistan,
warning that the credibility of loya jirga was threatened by a
resurgence of violence there. Local warlords were "stepping into a
power vacuum" caused by the absence of peacekeepers outside of
Kabul, the group said.

Last week a bomb went off in the grounds of the governor of
Kandahar's compound during a meeting to choose local delegates
for the loya jirga, and one man present was injured.

"Warlords are making a power grab by brazenly manipulating the
loya jirga selection process," said Human Rights Watch's Sam Zia-
Zarifi, who returned from Afghanistan at the end of May.

He said independent candidates for the jirga were being detained or
beaten by local commanders intent on sending their own delegates.
Often, warlords simply drew up their own lists of delegates and
insisted that the local populace approve them.

Many of these figures are people associated either with the Taliban,
or with the Hizb-i Islami party of Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, a warlord
who has lived in exile in Iran for the last six years.

Taliban remnants and Hekmatyar's forces -- alongside Osama bin
Laden's al Qaida network -- top the United States' list of those
thought to be plotting attacks in Kabul.

A member of the majority Pashtun ethnic group, Hekmatyar
received the lion's share of U.S. funding to fight the Soviet
occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s. During the civil war that
followed the Russian withdrawal, Hekmatyar -- angered by his
exclusion from the mujahedin government -- shelled Kabul, killing
thousands of its inhabitants and reducing much of the city to rubble.
In 1995, Hekmatyr briefly served as prime minister. When Kabul fell
to the Taliban in 1996, he fled to Iran, returning in February, having
pledged his support to the Taliban against what he called the
American invasion. The CIA recently attempted to kill him with a
Hellfire missile mounted on a Predator drone. The attempt was
unsuccessful but killed two or three of his associates, according to a
U.S. government official.

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