-Caveat Lector-

ANALYSIS: EPA report puts Bush in environmental quandary

Copyright © 2002 Christian Science Monitor Service

By BRAD KNICKERBOCKER, The Christian Science Monitor

(June 7, 2002 7:49 a.m. EDT) - Rocky Mountain meadows and barrier islands
disappearing. Coral reefs damaged. Droughts, floods and rising sea levels.

This disturbing vision of climate change - or at least its potential - would
not be a surprise coming from global-warming activists. But as a warning from
the Bush administration, it clearly is.

In a report to the United Nations, the Environmental Protection Agency says
that man-made greenhouse gases in the U.S. will increase 43 percent between
2000 and 2020. And while acknowledging some scientific uncertainties, the EPA
says that the recent warming trend "is real and has been particularly strong
within the past 20 years ... due mostly to human activities."

This report from government agencies (the White House Council on Environmental
Quality, the State Department and others also were involved) puts President
Bush in something of a double bind.

>From the start, and in line with energy and oil interests that are among his
biggest supporters, the president has expressed skepticism about the scientific
basis for reported climate change. He has resisted mandated cuts in carbon
dioxide emissions (the main greenhouse gas). And he has refused to sign on to
the Kyoto Protocol, the 1997 international agreement setting goals and
deadlines for industrial nations to reduce their impact on climate.

For now, he dismisses the 268-page EPA document as a "report put out by the
bureaucracy," even though it comes nearly 1 1/2 years into his own
administration. This may serve to mollify some on the political right who are
upset at the Bush administration's EPA report on global warming. But it's also
given his environmental critics added political ammunition.

"Having admitted the extent of the problem and identified the cause, a policy
of inaction becomes impossible to defend," says David Hawkins, director of the
Natural Resources Defense Council's climate program.

The president and administration insist that Bush's proposals indicate plenty
of action on climate change and that they will meet whatever global-warming
challenges exist.

This includes the recently announced "Clear Skies" initiative, which reduces
sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides and mercury emitted by power plants (although
less than existing laws would require). As for carbon dioxide, the president's
plan calls for voluntary steps leading to less "carbon intensity" (the amount
of CO2 per unit of economic output), although the amount of CO2 released into
the atmosphere would continue to grow, assuming continued economic growth.

Meanwhile, the number of countries agreeing to the Kyoto greenhouse gas
reductions continues to grow, giving much of the world the impression that the
United States is going it alone on global warming - and in the wrong direction.


Writing in the Guardian newspaper of London recently, U.K. environment minister
Michael Meacher said, "The U.S. has to rejoin the (Kyoto) climate talks if
disaster is to be averted."

For the Kyoto Protocol to take force, at least 55 countries responsible for at
least 55 percent of global emissions of climate-changing gases must ratify the
agreement. The aim is to require cuts in global CO2 emissions by an average of
5.2 percent below 1990 levels between 2008 and 2012. (The figure for the U.S.
would be about 7 percent.)

To date, 73 countries have signed on, including Japan this week and the 15-
nation European Union last Friday. At an EU-Russia summit last week, Russian
officials said their country is committed to ratification "as soon as
possible." Once Russia joins in, the 55 percent mark on global emissions will
have been passed.

In this country, there is a parallel trend of states and cities declaring their
intent to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in line with the Kyoto goals and
deadlines - despite Bush's warning this week that "the Kyoto treaty would
severely damage the United States economy."

Massachusetts and New Hampshire have passed legislation to cut carbon emissions
from power plants, and California is considering a measure limiting such
emissions from cars and light trucks. More than 100 U.S. cities have vowed to
cut CO2 emissions, some of them more than would be required under Kyoto.

Many U.S. companies that do business abroad also see the handwriting on the
wall and are cutting their greenhouse gases.

"The treaty is now very likely to come into force this year, and American
businesses will have to comply with it in their worldwide operations," says
Philip Clapp, president of the National Environmental Trust in Washington.

On Capitol Hill, the Senate is preparing to take up a bill that would regulate
power-plant emissions of CO2 for the first time and set stricter standards for
sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides and mercury.

Sen. Jim Jeffords, I-Vermont, who chairs the Senate Environment and Public
Works Committee, authored the "Clean Power Act."


"If this were a dictatorship, it'd be a heck of a lot easier, just so
long as I'm the dictator."
 -GW Bush during a photo-op with Congressional leaders on
12/18/2000.
As broadcast on CNN and available in transcript on their website
http://www.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0012/18/nd.01.html

Steve Wingate, Webmaster
ANOMALOUS IMAGES AND UFO FILES
http://www.anomalous-images.com

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