Is there any public evidence to support the claim that Guccifer 2.0 is a Russian disinformation campaign? Crowdstrike is claiming they have additional info they haven't released but in my book that is just as good as a New York Times anonymous source.
The complexity of pulling off such a campaign and not getting caught doing it would suggest they have the skills to not let their hacking get caught in the first place. In my opinion, as you pointed out, the risk of trying such a disinformation campaign and getting caught doing it far outweigh any potential political gains.
Of course if you take into account the recent Russian claims that US hacking attacks don't get the same coverage in the media as Russian attacks, who are (currently) being blamed for almost everything, then this may play well into that narrative.
Who knows. - SR dave aitel wrote:
So I want to point out some things about this really weird DNC Hack. The only example I can think of where a nation-state hacked someone and then released the documents under a cover-account is North Korea and Sony Pictures Entertainment. I can see examples of other smaller services (Iran, etc.) doing this as well. North Korea, to be fair, doesn't have a lot to lose, so acting like this can make sense and probably showed some teeth at an important time. But Russia is a whole different kind of service! They have important connections to the United States, and having the first thing Hillary thinks if she wins the Presidency be "Let's get back at Russia for trying to take my campaign out" seems like a cost-benefit equation that would preclude this kind of action. Are there other examples of Russian intelligence doing this sort of thing? Is this a change from the norm? Surely this isn't what Russia wants the new norm to be, right? -dave Conversation <https://twitter.com/thegrugq/timelines/743231527639621632> 1. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743179750064037888> Now THIS is a really interesting development in #*DncHack* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/DncHack?src=hash>: @*Gawker* <https://twitter.com/Gawker> has & is publishing the DNC's Trump oppo research 97 retweets101 likes Re More 2. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743180111038472192> This is a big development, because it means whoever did #*DncHack* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/DncHack?src=hash> to get Trump oppo file was doing it (bear with me) in *support* of Trump. *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743180111038472192> 35 retweets43 likes Reply Retweet 35 Like 43 More 3. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743180624731717636> How does this help Trump, you ask? It's a full dump. Trump gets lots of bad news today, but DNC loses ability to use contents strategically. *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743180624731717636> 34 retweets45 likes Reply Retweet 34 Like 45 More 4. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743183682530324480> A few observations about this op 1) Another data point in Russian SIGINT strategically leaking stolen data to push a particular narrative. *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743183682530324480> 22 retweets31 likes Reply Retweet 22 Like 31 More 5. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743184280008916992> 2) This para. V. bad for DNC if those are classification markings (but could be campaign "doc is sensitive" bluster) 16 retweets17 likes Reply Retweet 16 Like 17 More 6. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743184776547340288> 3) Gosh, I wonder what outlet Russian intelligence is going to use to launder these stolen documents. 21 retweets24 likes Reply Retweet 21 Like 24 More 7. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>18h18 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743184953546924033> 4) If you want to peruse the Trump oppo research directly, here's the PDF: https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2861555/1.pdf… <https://t.co/D6qUsqIoDN> *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743184953546924033> 28 retweets27 likes Reply Retweet 28 Like 27 More 8. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743191210718797824> 5) Site apparently set up by the group that hacked DNC https://guccifer2.wordpress.com/<https://t.co/AqXxuUwzS0> 21 retweets25 likes Reply Retweet 21 Like 25 More 9. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743191996437770241> 6) This is all of the text from the hacker's post, in case website gets taken down. Check out the broken English. 32 retweets29 likes Reply Retweet 32 Like 29 More 10. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743194146752565248> 7) Uh oh. This is an unfortunate document for Russia to stolen from under the noses of the DNC. 25 retweets29 likes Reply Retweet 25 Like 29 More 11. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743197064843104257> 8) Lol. Russian #*opsec* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/opsec?src=hash> fail. 65 retweets76 likes Reply Retweet 65 Like 76 More 12. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743199185596465152> 9) Better #*opsec* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/opsec?src=hash> in the "NatSec & Foreign Policy" doc. Attackers using VMs to open some (but clearly not all) docs 10 retweets12 likes Reply Retweet 10 Like 12 More 13. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>17h17 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743200699975086083> 10) Files from Russian Intelligence Agencies can contain viruses. It's safer to stay in Protected View 11 retweets19 likes Reply Retweet 11 Like 19 More 14. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>16h16 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743201610235514880> 11) Document #5 leaks via tracked changes (thx @*TheCyberSecExp* <https://twitter.com/TheCyberSecExp>) but it's not very interesting, and likely not hacker 5 retweets9 likes Reply Retweet 5 Like 9 More 15. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>16h16 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743203462683496448> Pwn All The Things Retweeted Peter Johnson 12) To clarify: leak is the RU-lang settings, not name (cover name references "Iron Felix" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Felix_Dzerzhinsky… <https://t.co/E14IjtJv9b>) Pwn All The Things added, *Peter Johnson*@alcebaid @*pwnallthethings* Felix is really a pseudo *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743203462683496448> 5 retweets9 likes Reply Retweet 5 Like 9 More 16. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>16h16 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743208737469509632> Pwn All The Things Retweeted (((davi - 德海))) 13) Another #*opsec* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/opsec?src=hash> fail. (This happened because they did an Export as PDF, and then later saved, w/ lang set to RU) Pwn All The Things added, *(((davi - 德海)))*@daviottenheimer @*pwnallthethings* "error! invalid hyperlinks" in Russian... *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743208737469509632> 25 retweets27 likes Reply Retweet 25 Like 27 More 17. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>16h16 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743209989217587200> 14) Tldr: this "lone hacker" uses many VMs, speaks Russian; username is founder of USSR secret police & likes laundering docs via Wikileaks. *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743209989217587200> 64 retweets62 likes Reply Retweet 64 Like 62 More 18. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>16h16 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743211918995951616> 15) Spot the difference: Left: doc sent to Gawker (page 210). On right, same page in https://guccifer2.wordpress.com/<https://t.co/AqXxuUwzS0> 13 retweets18 likes Reply Retweet 13 Like 18 More 19. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>15h15 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743221774725300224> 16) Tangentially related: "VantageUploader" is the tool DNC use to share vids. JWT arg leaks author email in base64. 4 retweets12 likes Reply Retweet 4 Like 12 More 20. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>15h15 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743226558412918788> 17) Final piece of metadata: Creation date and software used to turn DOC into the Gawker PDF (note: could be journo) 4 retweets8 likes Reply Retweet 4 Like 8 More 21. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>15h15 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743228802646573060> 18) Metadata from the various docs 5 retweets3 likes Reply Retweet 5 Like 3 More 22. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>15h15 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743230570440826886> Pwn All The Things Retweeted Florian Wagner 19) @*_fl01* <https://twitter.com/_fl01> points out "Grizli777" indicates that pirated Office (2007) was used by the hacker. Pwn All The Things added, *Florian Wagner*@_fl01 @*_fl01* @*pwnallthethings* Get it now ;) »Grizli777«'s cracked MS Office seems 2b popular among Russians and Romanians. 1. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>14h14 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743232989602156546> 20) Extra data-point: Author on The Smoking Gun's PDF is different again. (good chance this is TSG's journo) 4 retweets6 likes Reply Retweet 4 Like 6 More 2. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>3h3 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743408033691279361> 21) Missed this yesterday, but the hacker contacted TSG (and probably Gawker) via a GMZ.us (anoymous) email addr 7 retweets3 likes Reply Retweet 7 Like 3 More 3. *Pwn All The Things*@*pwnallthethings*<https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings>2h2 hours ago <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743416709281898496> Pwn All The Things Retweeted CrowdStrike 22) A weak data point, but @*CrowdStrike* <https://twitter.com/CrowdStrike> also says Guccifer2.0 doesn't change their attribution of #*DncHack* <https://twitter.com/hashtag/DncHack?src=hash> to Russia Pwn All The Things added, *CrowdStrike*@CrowdStrike New hacker claims credit for DNC hack. CrowdStrike fully stands by attribution to Russian government https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/bears-midst-intrusion-democratic-national-committee/… 1 retweet4 likes Reply Retweet 1 Like 4 More *View conversation* <https://twitter.com/pwnallthethings/status/743230570440826886> 6 retweets12 likes Reply Retweet 6 Like 12 More _______________________________________________ Dailydave mailing list Dailydave@lists.immunityinc.com https://lists.immunityinc.com/mailman/listinfo/dailydave
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