Looks like I had a misconfiguration in apt.conf.d:

APT::Get::Install-Recommends "false";
instead of 
APT::Install-Recommends "false";

No error was issued, so I assumed it worked. This line seems to be the true 
cause of this bug in my case. Although I do not know if trying to install 
missing recommendations specifically during upgrades if Install-Recommends is 
true is desired behavior. If it is, then this bug can be closed.

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