Posted Wednesday December 16, 2009 at 1400 UTC at
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o4.htm

Sunspot group #11035 near N30W13 has grown into the largest (seven times
larger than the Earth) and most magnetically complex (beta-gamma) sunspot
group of solar cycle 24. At 0102 UTC the sunspot group released a small C5.3
solar flare, the largest solar flare of solar cycle 24. More small C class
solar flares are possible, with a chance for an isolated medium size M class
solar flare.

#11035 also produced the first partially geoeffective (Earth facing) coronal
mass ejection (CME) of solar cycle 24. The CME will arrive at Earth in a
approximately two days and could spark a geomagnetic storm and visible
aurora. Another geoeffective CME is possible, with an associated sudden
ionosphere disturbance (SID) and shortwave fadeout (SWF).

The sunspot count is 38 which is the highest of solar cycle 24. The solar
flux index is 82 which is tied for the highest SFI of solar Cycle 24.

With the increased sunspot count we should see improved propagation
conditions on 15 and 12 meters.

73, GUD DX, Merry X-mas & Happy New Year,
Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O
Lakeland, FL, USA
n...@arrl.net

COL LF/MF/HF/VHF/UHF Frequency Radiowave Propagation Email Reflector:
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/spaceweather
NZ4O Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o1.htm
NZ4O Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data In Graphic & Image Format:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o2.htm
NZ4O Daily LF/MF/HF/6M Frequency Radiowave Propagation Forecast & Archive:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o3.htm
NZ4O Solar Cycle 24 Forecast Discussion & Archive:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o4.htm
NZ4O 160 Meter Radio Propagation Theory Notes:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o5.htm
NZ4O Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Raw Forecast Data Links:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/nz4o6.htm
Harmful Man Induced Climate Change (Global Warming) Refuted:
http://www.wcflunatall.com/globalwarminglie.htm



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