An HTML-version of this newsletter is available at
http://www.fnf.org.ph/enewsletter/ltm062005.htm

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Liberal Times Manila

A monthly newsletter of the Friedrich Naumann Foundation's Philippine Office
   
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Dear friends of the Friedrich Naumann Foundation,     30/6/2005

Politically, the Philippines is once more experiencing tumultuous times. As the 
representative of a political Foundation and also an ardent political observer 
I am fascinated by the unravelling drama. It is safe to say that it will take a 
long time before political normality returns to this land. On the surface, the 
crisis appears as a power struggle between individuals of opposing camps. On a 
more abstract level the turbulences also expose fundamental deficiencies of the 
political system and its institutions. I have expounded on this angle in a 
commentary entitled "Weak Institutions Fan Filipino Turmoil," excerpts of which 
are attached to this note. You may view the full text at 
http://www.fnf.org.ph/liberalopinion/2005-06-15-weak_institutions_a_turmoil.htm

While in these troubled times all public debates in Manila focus on the alleged 
(and confessed) wrongdoings of the president, political forces in the 
Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao     (ARMM) are gearing up for regional 
elections slated for August 8, 2005. Continuing the efforts to strengthen the 
liberal forces in Southern Philippines, our partners, the National Institute 
for Policy Studies (NIPS), held a Basic Orientation Workshop on Liberal 
Democracy (BOLD) for candidates and political coordinators in early June. 
Leading the Muslim delegation was Datu Ibrahim "Toto" Paglas, the Liberal 
Party's candidate for regional governor. Among the highlights of the well 
attended event was a debate on the complex relationship between liberalism
and Islam. Go to www.fnf.org.ph for more details.

Meanwhile, members of the liberal Foundation's Alumni Group convened on June 9, 
2005 to exchange information and discuss the future of this informal 
association of individuals who have attended FNF-sponsored leadership training 
courses in Europe. I am pleased that those present resolved to revitalize the 
group. Ms Essa Remoquillo, a senior staff member of Senate Majority Leader 
Francis Pangilinan, was elected the new coordinator of the Group.  She steps in 
for Mrs. Chit Asis, the director general of the Liberal Party, who held this 
position for the past three years.

The first activity of the rejuvenated Alumni network was a discussion meeting 
with Siegfried Herzog, the head of the Asia desk at the Foundation's 
headquarters in Germany, who on June 22, 2005 delivered a talk on 
"Globalization, Europe and Liberal Politics in Germany".  In his speech, Mr. 
Herzog presented a comprehensive overview of the challenges facing Europe and 
particularly the liberal forces in that part of the world, today. You may view 
the text at http://www.fnf.org.ph/liberallibrary/herzog_speech.htm

Last, but not least: The Foundation's International Academy for Leadership 
(IAF) will hold its first ever online course. Entitled "No Education: No 
Freedom, No Opportunity," participants of the interactive workshop will discuss 
ideas on educational reform. At the end of the online workshop, we will select 
the 25 most successful participants from all parts of the world and invite them 
to a two-week workshop in Germany in November 2005. I encourage you to 
participate in this ground-breaking educational event and earn your all expense 
paid trip to the heart of Europe. For details, go to www.fnf.org.ph. 

Thank you and kind regards


(Dr. Ronald Meinardus)

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The monthly Liberal Times Manila newsletter informs about activities of the 
Friedrich Naumann Foundation in the Philippines and beyond. This issue has been 
sent to 1638 individuals and organizations. If you do not wish to receive our 
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Weak institutions fan Filipino turmoil (Excerpts)

When the Filipino masses rose in 1986 against the tyranny of Ferdinand Marcos, 
the whole democratic world joined the celebrations. "People power" became a 
synonym for democratic and peaceful transition, and the Philippines was hailed 
as a global trend-setter. Compared with 1986, the popular uprising in 2001 that 
brought the incumbent to power had far less splendour. It took place in a 
constitutional and democratic framework and was hardly aimed at a dictator. 
Once again, major political forces in the Philippines are advocating 
extra-constitutional methods to rid the country of what they term a corrupt and 
illegitimate leader. 

On a more general note, this situation exposes a fundamental weakness of the 
Philippine political system and its institutions. The issue of the legitimacy 
of the electoral results of May 2004 stands at the centre of the political 
turmoil. Up to this very day, the opposition has not conceded defeat, insisting 
the president only won because of massive cheating. With all legal efforts 
exhausted, the opposition has politicised the struggle. A heterogeneous cluster 
of individuals and groups reaching from the far left to the far right is 
confronting the president. Their only
common characteristic is an aversion to the president. They have neither 
produced a rallying figure capable of replacing the president, nor have they 
come up with a programme of government. The anti-Arroyo coalition is a 
negative, one-purpose campaign.

Whether this is enough to mobilise the Filipino masses is questionable. To be 
successful, the least the kind of movement some armchair revolutionaries are 
dreaming of should do is produce a joint political blueprint for a better 
future. The lack of such a blueprint enforces the widespread suspicion that the 
whole commotion is less about political direction and principles than it is 
about personal ambitions.

In the midst of all the turmoil, the president has announced her intention to 
initiate the process to change the constitution, altering the government from 
its present presidential form to a parliamentary federal system. Many observers 
see this as an attempt to deflect public attention away from the negative 
headlines the scandal was producing. To raise the constitutional question 
during this delicate time was premature. The problem is not the constitution, 
but a lack of respect for the basic law. It is debatable, also, whether a shift 
from the presidential to a
parliamentary system would improve the political situation. While it would 
strengthen parliament, it would at the same time weaken the executive. 

To solve its myriad problems, the Philippines needs strong political 
leadership. I am not convinced that a leader presiding over a potentially 
fragile parliamentary majority would be better equipped to get things done than 
a chief executive with a popular mandate. 

In addition, for a parliamentary system to work, you need an institutional 
framework with a functioning electoral system and strong political parties. 
Compared with other democracies, both the electoral and party systems of the 
Philippines are feeble and in dire need of reform.

Hardly anyone remembers today that in 2001 the political parties agreed at a 
summit to enact legislation aimed at creating strong platform-based and 
publicly financed political parties. Up to this day, nothing practical has come 
of it. This shows that the political class is really not genuine in its desire 
to strengthen the political parties as democratic institutions.

There is also a lack of political sincerity regarding electoral reform: today's 
turmoil is basically a consequence of the inadequacies of the electoral system. 
Had the 2004 elections been computerised and not conducted through what 
observers at the time described as an "archaic" system of manual counting, 
today's allegations of cheating and rigging would simply be baseless.

It is disturbing, but also revealing, that hardly anyone is campaigning for 
election reform today. This leads to the conclusion that many in the political 
class seem content with an outdated electoral system that is not only open to 
manipulation but also extremely destabilising.

© The Nation, Bangkok: June 15, 2005





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