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I asked Shanthi Kalathil to write up a short article for DoWire about
her and Taylor Boas's new book: http://www.ceip.org/OpenNetworks

If you write a book or long article related to the political impact
of information and communication technologies, be sure to write up a
short piece for your fellow DoWire members.

Also, I am increasingly interested in ensuring an honest appraisal of
the real political impact ICTs are having on developing countries, be
they budding democracies or authoritarian regimes. As far as I can
tell, most initiatives promoting ICTs in development are avoiding
this issue beyond lip service about civil society and ICTs or
alluding some supposed democratizing impact of the Internet.  Yet
without real analysis and experiments with good governance and ICTs
or the development of ICT-based methods to accommodate public will as
it expresses itself in the information age (e.g.
http://www.smartmobs.com ), the lack of democratic intent may lead to
a growing list of authoritarian states who must use technology in
increasingly controlling ways to maintain power.

What do you think? Tell me I am wrong about the the head in the sand
approach to political ICT impacts.  E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Steven Clift
Democracies Online


------- Forwarded message follows -------
From:                   "Shanthi Kalathil" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Open Networks, Closed Regimes: The Impact of the Internet on
Authoritarian Rule

By Shanthi Kalathil and Taylor C. Boas

Washington, D.C.: Carnegie Endowment, 2003

In 1989, Ronald Reagan declared that "technology will make it
increasingly difficult for the state to control the information its
people receive . . . the Goliath of totalitarianism will be brought
down by the David of the microchip." To many, subsequent events have
borne witness to the truth of his prediction: authoritarian regimes
have fallen around the world, while the power of the microchip has
risen.

A link between technological advance and democratization remains a
powerful assumption in popular thinking, even amid a decline in the
general "information age" optimism that characterized much of the
1990s. Specifically, many in the policy and punditry worlds now
believe that the Internet poses a grave threat to authoritarian rule.
Yet this conventional wisdom tends to be based on a series of "black-
box" assertions that obscure the ways in which the use of technology
might truly produce a political outcome. Popular assumptions often
rest on anecdotal evidence, drawing primarily on isolated examples of
Internet-facilitated political protest.

This book seeks to critically examine the impact of the Internet in
authoritarian regimes by analyzing how the technology is employed by
a broad range of actors in eight authoritarian countries. Grouping
Internet use into four categories - civil society, politics and the
state, the economy, and the international sphere - the authors build
a framework through which they examine the technology's effects in
China, Cuba, Singapore, Vietnam, Burma, the United Arab Emirates,
Saudi Arabia, and Egypt.

Based on a systematic examination of evidence from these eight cases,
authors Kalathil and Boas argue that the Internet is not necessarily
a threat to authoritarian regimes. Certain types of Internet use do
indeed pose political challenges to authoritarian governments, and
such use may
contribute to political change in the future. Yet other uses of the
Internet reinforce
authoritarian rule, and many authoritarian regimes are proactively
promoting the development of an
Internet that serves state-defined interests rather than challenging
them. This study should help
policy makers to think about how the Internet can best be used to
support political changes that are in the interest of both the United
States and the citizens of authoritarian regimes.

For more information about the book and to read the first chapter,
please visit http://www.ceip.org/OpenNetworks.



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Minneapolis    -   -   -     E: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Minnesota  -   -   -   -   -    T: +1.612.822.8667
USA    -   -   -   -   -   -   -     ICQ: 13789183

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