The British pound was strongly negatively impacted by the lost
confidence of the banking sector in UK which had huge loses yesterday
driving the FTSEE 100 down by .93% after a strong opening amid the
next stimulation package which had not the trust of the stock holders
specially over the short term pushing their banking stocks lower in
what can you call a new pessimism wave could contain the current
market sentiment. The cable could break lower than 1.435 this time and
now the expectations of further MPC close and massive interest rate
cuts can put pressure on the British pound while we wait today for the
release of UK inflation rates of December which are expected to come
lower strongly on the recession contraction impact and the declines of
the energy and commodities prices. The CPI is waited to be 2.7% y/y
from 4.1% a month earlier and the core RPI figure is expected to come
lower too to -1% from -.4%in November .

The worries about the negative impact of the financial sector on the
real economy are growing faster in UK which can cause a decline of the
business spending and the consuming spending. We wait later this week
for the UK Labor report which can carry further sings of the business
contractions and expected declines of the consuming spending. December
jobless claimant is expected to be 85k from 75k in November and the
unemployment rate is expected to grow by 6.1% y/y from 6% in November
and further weaker data can show that there is no bottoming out soon
which can effect negatively on the British pound.

The cable was moving in a side way and its upper band was at 1.5722
and it has consisted after the Fed's recent interest rate cut to .25%
and the lower band was at 1.435 and breaking it could put more
pressure on the cable to break 1.4.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: m...@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

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