Donald F. Burrill ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
: Haven't seen a public response to this question that I find credible, 
: and am curious.  Is the problem as described solvable? 
:  If  n  is finite, what meaning attaches to "P(X=n+2)" and "P(X=n+1)"? 
:  If  n  is infinite, shouldn't the description read, without reference 
: to an apparently finite  n,  "X(omega)={1,2,3,...}"? 
:  Or should the description read "for every i in {1,2,3,...,n-2}"?
: 
: On Wed, 1 Dec 1999, Yonah Russ wrote:
: 
: > how do you solve a problem like this one?
: > thanks in advance
: > -------
: > X is a chance variable such that X(omega)={1,2,3...,n}
: > and for every i in {1,2,3...n}, 4P(X=i+2)=5P(X=i+1)-P(X=i)
: > 
: > find the breakdown of X.
: 

Let's take n finite first.  Let ^ denote "raised to power".  Using difference
equations, the solutions are constant and constant times (1/4)^i or linear
combinations thereof:  P(X=i) = a (1/4)^i + b where a and b are constants.  The
requirement that the P(X=i) sum to 1 forces a=3(1-bn)4^n/(4^n-1) and b is at most
1/n. 

If n is infinite, then b must be 0 (otherwise the sum of the P(X=i) is infinite).
Then a=3.  So P(X=i)=3 (1/4)^i.

-- 
Michael P. Cohen                       home phone   202-232-4651
1615 Q Street NW #T-1                  office phone 202-219-1917
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