Hi everyone,

The event I'm interested in is an estimate of time 
to retirement (or attrition) of our staff.

A brief subset of my data looks like,

  SUB  AGE   HIRED       RETIRED     ACTIVE

  1    50   09/15/70    06/15/90       0
  2    45   09/12/75    06/15/92       0
  3    52   09/13/72          .        1
  4    55   09/15/70          .        1
  5    35   09/17/90          .        1
          ...etc...

The variables are SUB (subject), AGE, HIRED (date
hired), RETIRED (date retired or quit), and ACTIVE
(0=retired, 1=employed). This appears to be fairly
standard data.

Could anyone suggest a working model in SAS ? I'm
considering PROC LIFEREG with Allison's PREDICT
macro (as described in his 1995 book). Maybe use
age as a covariate...

Any suggestions on this ? Is this in the published
literature ? Survival analysis is new to me. For
the curious, I'm trying to get a rough estimate of
the number of people taking retirement this year
for our budget planning. I'm on the local Board of
Education.

thanks,
Al Barron
Metuchen, NJ




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