[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Although some children are capable of thinking abstractly enough to
> understand stats, most below the age of 13 probably are not. The work of the
> child psychologist Jean Piaget supports this assertion. Piaget described
> different stages of thinking in kids.  Children before the age of 7 tend to
> think mostly with  sensori-motor rhythms and habits but they are capable of
> preconceptual thought that employs unstable mental images.  For example,
> show a five year old a ball of clay and ask them how much clay there is.
> Then roll the ball into a sausage. They will probably say there is less clay
> now because it is thinner than the ball. Then roll the sausage out into a
> thin string. The child will probably now say that there is more clay, since
> it is longer. The child fixates on particular aspects of the object with out
> seeing that other aspects compensate for the changes. The clay may be longer
> now but it is also thinner. The sausage may be thinner but it is also
> longer. The young child's mind is incapable of  grasping the equilibrium
> between the aspects. This is very much a problem for children who are trying
> to understand scientific sampling.

It would be worth reading recent research on child development
(since Piaget). Children below 13 _are_ capable of abstract thought
and reasoning, but both adults and children find absract concepts hard.

You can change children's answers to these "conservation" tasks by
changing the context in which they are asked. Part of the problem is
the relationship between adult experimenter and child (e.g., work by
Paul Light in the UK).

[My favourite example is from my PhD superviser. As a student at
Oxford she replicated the liquid conservation task in a variant
using orange juice. The children had no problems realizing that the
glasses contained equal ammounts.]

A different example is in the use of analogy (which requires
abstraction). Usha Goswami has shown that children can understand
and employ analogies provided they use familiar relations. Similar
findings occur with adults. You can show the same in perspective
tasks (such as the mountains task used by Piaget). Children and
adults both find it harder to take a different perspective. The most
parsimonoius explanation is that it is computationally harder to
shift perspective etc. (easy to show in computer models). Children
have fewer cognitive resources (or are less skilled at marsahlling
them) and therefore show bigger decrements in performance than
adults (and the decrements are easier to detect).

Thom
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