> > How can I estimate the probability distribution of a non-stationary
> > signal?

> ... it depends what you mean by the whole question and by the various
> parts of the question.
>
> ... in particular, what do you mean by "non-stationary" (for your
> specific application) ? For example, if the siognal is non-stationary
> because of seasonal effects, this leads to a set of possible answers
> to your question that aren't available otherwise.


It's no seasonal effect. In a first approximation, one might say that the
signal consists of several time intervals where the signal is stationary,
but with a different mean for each interval.

> ... again, if you have available a set of multiple realisations of the
> signal, this opens up another set of possibilities.

I don't have multiple realisations.

> ... what do you mean by "the probability distribution" ? Do you mean
> the conditional distribution at some time-point or the marginal
> distribution. If you mean the marginal distibution, this might be
> something well-defined and might be estimable given some basic
> assumptions, but it depends on what you mean by "non-stationary".

What do you mean here by conditional distribution? Conditional on what? And
what by the marginal distribution? Integrated over what? I have only one
signal, isn't that just one random variable?


Thanks,
Geert


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