I think it's fascinating. Anyhow, it's nice to hear a solar activity
analysis that is based upon science. I half suspect that some of the
sunspot predictions we've heard are made by ex stock market quants and
commodities chartists; it wouldn't surprise me if they started referring
to inverse head and shoulders, cup and handle patterns, sunspot
breakouts, etc.
On the bright side (pun), if there is a long spell of inactivity in the
solar magnetic field it will allow more cosmic rays to hit the earth's
ionosphere which will help light it up a bit. Not sure if that is much
of a silver lining for HF radio but it is something.
73,
Drew
AF2Z
On 06/24/19 21:55, kevinr wrote:
I found this paper and thought some of you would be interested. Warning:
things look grim from 2019 to 2055 since we'll be in a grand solar
minimum. Looks like the next three 11 year cycles will not be too
good. Better prepare space for your 160 m antennas.
Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar
irradiance on a millennial timescale
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-45584-3
It does get a bit dry but the math is minimal.
GL,
Kevin. KD5ONS
-
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