Bart Ingles wrote: > Suppose you have absolutely no polling data of any kind, but know enough > about the candidates to place them on a policy continuum. Should this > still be considered a zero-info situation? No, it shouldn't. However, in order to affect strategy, there has to be a way to determine voting probabilities to some degree of precision. If a candidate is on the borderline (zero-info) then it wouldn't take much evidence to sway a voter one way or the other, so the precision doesn't have to be great in such cases. But if my utilities are 100, 75, and 0 then I'd better be real sure of the probabilities before I exclude the second candidate from my ballot on that basis. Also, putting the candidates on a policy continuum may work in theory, but in practice there are other factors that this ignores, such as political organization, financial resources, and charisma. Richard
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Richard Moore
- RE: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- RE: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas LAYTON Craig
- RE: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas LAYTON Craig
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Bart Ingles
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Bart Ingles
- RE: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Richard Moore
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Richard Moore
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Blake Cretney
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Forest Simmons
- RE: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Rob LeGrand
- Re: [EM] Responses to some of Forest's ideas Richard Moore