Ed-
I don't know if I fully grasped what you were saying, but I tend to agree with 
you up to a point.
There are a few papers out on what I'd refer to as 'gradient analysis' where 
any given sample of a population is related to its range, or extent.  It is 
generally assumed that as the populations sampled get closer to the edge of the 
range, the more sensitive they will be to external changes in such 
environmental gradients as local/regional warming trends and local/regional 
moisture regimes.  
That said, if the sub-populations do indeed have broader, more diverse 
genetics, and survive, that would be great, and they would be a great boon to 
silviculturists facing local/regional climate change. If they don't, then it's 
back to Mike's approach...nothing lost.
-DOn

From: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: [ENTS] Re: Birds are Moving North Too
Date: Tue, 10 Feb 2009 15:43:39 -0500




Birds are Moving North Too





Mike and Don,
 
I recognize that some trees have a 
wider geographical distribution than others that this represents a greater 
tolerance of environmental conditions for them as a species, but I am unsure if 
that directly corresponds to an individual of that species or a particular 
sub-population of that species being more tolerant than others in a particular 
area.  One proposition is not the logical extension of the other.  So 
managing to promote the increase of the numbers of these trees that are more 
tolerant of change as a species, may not really accomplish anything if the 
individual trees involved are not also more tolerant of change.  The 
questions are how much variation is there between differing populations of a 
species in different parts of it range, and could specimens from area of the 
populations range survive or flourish in the environmental conditions found in 
a 
different portion of the species range.  I don't know the answer, but I 
can't reasonably make the jump without any other evidence, that species with a 
broader range are made up of individual trees or subpopulations that are more 
tolerant of changing conditions.
 
Ed
 

  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: 
  DON 
  BERTOLETTE 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Tuesday, February 10, 2009 2:35 
  PM
  Subject: [ENTS] Re: Birds are Moving 
  North Too
  
Mike-
True words!
-Don


  
  From: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: 
  [ENTS] Birds are Moving North Too
Date: Tue, 10 Feb 2009 06:01:37 
  -0500


  See 
http://www.boston.com/news/science/articles/2009/02/10/amid_warming_birds_shift_north/
   
  
  Birds as well as trees and forests will slowly adapt to a 
  warming planet or a cooling one too if that’s the case. 
  
  For 
  us foresters, it makes sense to promote those mid tolerant to tolerant 
species 
  that naturally tend to become dominants and codominants with a wide range.
  Around my neck of the woods that would be mostly red oak and white 
  pine. We can make 
  forests more adaptable to climate change by using the appropriate 
  silviculture to increase the proportion of these more adaptable species 
  while also trying to keep our forests as diverse as 
  possible. 
  Man 
  will adapt too; we always have. 
  Mike  






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