----- Original Message ----- 
From: "John Lovda" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> This is one of the unfortunate aspects of digital
> photography.  A nice film camera such as a Leica,
> Nikon, Canon can hold its value over time. Regardless
> of the quality or how beautifully constructed a
> digital body may be, they are now in EXACTLY the same
> situation as a personal computer in terms of resale
> value.  They drop like a rock when the next model
> comes out.  

At this moment true every word. But I suppose dropping of body prices gets slower in 
future. For example, editorial staff at my client magazine use now digitals in general 
photos and film for two page spread-photos. So, in practise around 80% of photos are 
digital. And they are going 100% digital as soon as possible. Now they have 1D in use, 
but after 1Ds comes out, I am sure they'll buy them and abandon film bodies. But 
that's it. You have to remember that at least now pro-DSLRs are used in practise only 
by pros, who shoot for magazines. Once they get quality they need for digital process, 
need for even more better image quality is not so relevant. D60 for example is not a 
pinnacle of DSLRs and leaves wishes for image quality in magazine use, but 1Ds may be 
"good enough" nearly for everyone with 11.1 Mpx and allow to use body several years 
onwards. This same phenomenon happened to cellphones and is going to happen to DSLRs 
as well IMO.

I also believe, that once around 15 Mpx quality has been achieved by consumer DSLRs 
like "D120" or "D240", there is no raging intention to change body for ordinary user 
and this dropping of prices will slow down once we all list members have at least one 
digital body....in order to give some time scale..:-)

Just 2 years ago we "all-analog EOSers" waited D30 to appear to dealers. Now, 1Ds is 
in the same situation. Think 2 years onwards and there's completely new cameras coming 
at Photokina 2004. Maybe some 15-20 Mpx models, who knows. The transition time from 
analog to digital may be shorter than predicted after all.

BR

Jaakko Pitkäjärvi
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
www.pitkajarvi.net

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