My wonderment is 200,000,000+ batteries for appx 21,000 vehicles and the scale 
up to 1,000,000,000 batteries and more per year




------------------------------
On Sun, Jun 23, 2013 5:33 PM EDT Cor van de Water wrote:

>So, maybe we should stop speculating until we can get the word from
>Tesla
>how they will make this work within their (limited) world.
>Since they have no doubt thought about this for some time, they will
>probably have ways to deal with the real problems...
>
>Cor van de Water
>Chief Scientist
>Proxim Wireless Corporation http://www.proxim.com
>Email: [email protected] Private: http://www.cvandewater.info
>Skype: cor_van_de_water Tel: +1 408 383 7626
>
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On
>Behalf Of Chris Tromley
>Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2013 2:02 PM
>To: Electric Vehicle Discussion List
>Subject: Re: [EVDL] Subject: Re: EVLN: Tesla Parades EV Battery
>SwapTechnology
>
>Am I the only one seeing that everyone has a slightly-to-greatly
>different
>idea about how this should work?  All of which makes it more complicated
>than the simple gas n' go paradigm it's supposed to compete with?
>
>Battery swapping can work great for fleets.  Let it out in the wild and
>plenty of people will complain about it.  Some just to complain, some
>with
>good reason.  It's not likely to succeed unless you can eliminate the
>good
>reasons.
>
>Chris
>
>
>On Sun, Jun 23, 2013 at 12:54 PM, <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> A few comments:
>>
>> 1.) Managing a fleet of rental packs and owned packs:
>> One way to easily ensure you get your own original pack back would be
>to
>> make your first stop on a road trip be at a local swapping station.
>There
>> you could swap your say 60 kWh pack for an 85 kWh or larger pack and
>pay
>> the pack rental/usage fee. Tesla would store your original pack until
>your
>> return, or until you informed Tesla you now planned to keep the rental
>pack
>> (convert to owned), thereby releasing the owned pack into the rental
>pack
>> fleet.
>>
>> This model might also be able to support repeated swaps of the rental
>pack
>> at no additional fee or a nominal fee. A daily pack rental fee with
>> unlimited swaps might work. This would be like a daily car rental fee
>with
>> no miles limit.
>> Another approach would be the per-swap fee, and a daily pack storage
>fee
>> (for your original pack). Daily storage fee would end when you picked
>up
>> original pack or chose to keep new pack.
>>
>> 2.) Pack size/disparity between 60 kWh and 85 kWh Model S owners:
>> It has been suggested that it may not be 'fair' for the 60 kWh owners,
>or
>> even the grandfathered 40 kWh owners, to be able to get access to
>larger
>> than original packs. Appropriate pack swap/rental pricing should be
>able to
>> mitigate this. If pack limits are programmable within the packs,
>perhaps
>> they could be set during the rental process, with lower fees for
>swapping
>> in smaller packs. Tesla could actually build all the packs as the same
>> capacity and program in the usable capacity based on the rental
>choice. An
>> 85 kWh pack programmed to 60 kWh could see an extended life as it
>would
>> only have 71% of it's official capacity used on a given
>charge/discharge
>> cycle. FWIW, Tesla has announced that the 40 kWh Model S is software
>> limited, but actually has a 60 kWh pack in it.
>>
>> 3.) Pack return logistics:
>> If an original pack is dropped off at a swap station where the owner
>is
>> not likely to return to, the owner could ask that it be transported to
>a
>> nearby station he will be going to. This return logistic component
>might be
>> handled via a fleet of Tesla pack transport trucks (long distance EV
>> trucks, nonetheless, running off the packs being transported). The
>> transport trucks would also provide a supply/demand balancing solution
>in
>> case some stations are doing more swaps than others and are running
>low on
>> rental packs or storage space for owned packs.
>>
>> Or if Tesla can get route information from other Tesla drivers, it
>might
>> even be possible have these other drivers perform the transport
>function as
>> long as they understand the pack must be swapped at the next swap
>station
>> or at a particular swap station on their route. This return logistics
>> option might offer drivers a free or reduced cost pack swap in
>exchange for
>> them dropping off the pack as-agreed.
>>
>> 4.) Pack sizing/form factor:
>> The stakeboard chassis design could allow for a pack that has a
>swappable
>> component and a nonswappable component. Swappable piece would be
>common
>> sized across multiple models, and would be good for a significant
>range.
>> The nonswappable piece would permanently remain with the vehicle, and
>could
>> be placed in vehicle niches that would be unsuitable for swapping.
>Charging
>> would fill the nonswappable piece first; discharging would take from
>the
>> swappable piece first. Charge shuttling from swappable to nonswappable
>> might also be used. A mix of swappable and nonswappable components
>might
>> allow for both a small car and a large car to use the same swappable
>pack;
>> the large car would just have a larger nonswappable section. Or if the
>> swappable components were smaller units, a large car might use 3
>swappable
>> units and a small car use 2 units.
>>
>>
>>
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