Günther Greindl wrote:
> Brent,
> 
>> scientific theory.  Occams razor is a vague desiderata. You can justify 
>> almost anything by choosing your definition of "complex", e.g.  theists 
>> say, "God did it." is the simplest possible theory.
> 
> no you can't:
> http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/09/occams-razor.html
> 
> most relevant quote from the above post:
> 
> This lets us see clearly the problem with using "The lady down the 
> street is a witch; she did it" to explain the pattern in the sequence 
> "0101010101".  If you're sending a message to a friend, trying to 
> describe the sequence you observed, you would have to say:  "The lady 
> down the street is a witch; she made the sequence come out 0101010101." 
>   Your accusation of witchcraft wouldn't let you shorten the rest of the 
> message; you would still have to describe, in full detail, the data 
> which her witchery caused.
> 
> Witchcraft may fit our observations in the sense of qualitatively 
> permitting them; but this is because witchcraft permits everything, like 
> saying "Phlogiston!"  So, even after you say "witch", you still have to 
> describe all the observed data in full detail.  You have not compressed 
> the total length of the message describing your observations by 
> transmitting the message about witchcraft; you have simply added a 
> useless prologue, increasing the total length.
> 
> The real sneakiness was concealed in the word "it" of "A witch did it". 
>   A witch did what?
> 
> QUOTE END
> 
> same goes for "god did it"
> 
> Cheers,
> Günther
> 

That's a computer scientist's idea of explanation, a definite description. 
  In fact you can use an ostensive definition, "That.", while pointing and 
no description is needed.  "The witch did it." is a casual explanation, not 
a description, and a casual explanation is often the kind needed since it 
tells you something you can do to change "That", e.g. "kill the witch".

But I agree that the problem with God or The Witch as a theory is that they 
can explain anything and so fail to explain at all.

Brent

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