On Tue, Sep 15, 2015  Jason Resch <jasonre...@gmail.com> wrote:

​>​
> You were told the protocol before you were put to sleep.
>

​Yes.​


> ​> ​
> You know that the answer cannot be Friday.
>

​I know nothing of the sort! If Einstein taught us anything it's that time
is not absolute and so I know ​for a fact that for me it is Friday, what it
may be to other people is a different question entirely. Let's be more
exact: on Friday I am told that whenever I am awakened I must ask the
following  "what day is it?" and the big question is  "what answer will I
receive?".  I will be lacking certain very important information that you
have but I do not (was this the first time I was awakened or the second?)
therefore on Friday I can not devise a strategy that guarantees I will
always be able to correctly predict if you will say Monday or Tuesday, but
there are 2 strategies I can take:

1) Always say Monday.
2) Always say Tuesday.

With both strategies I will be correct exactly 50% of the time and wrong
50% of the time. If the protocol is modified slightly and I am allowed
access to a coin then randomness allows for a third strategy and with it I
would get one correct answer 50% of the time and 2 correct answers 25% of
the time and no correct answers  25% of the time. So which of the 3
strategies should I take, should I play it safe or take a chance? That is a
matter of taste and depends on the reward for being correct and the penalty
for being incorrect.

But I want to say again none of this has anything to do with my
subjectivity and that is the most important thing in the universe, or at
least it is in my opinion. The above thought experiment is about me
predicting if your mouth will make the "Monday" noise or the "Tuesday"
noise, and I already knew that precise answers can not be given if
important information is lacking. So I've learned nothing from it.


> ​> ​
> Note: the experimenters add that if you guess correctly, they will give
> you $100,000. Will you still answer Friday?
>

​"Friday" has no intrinsic properties it is the subjective function of the
observer, and they are NOT asking that question to themselves they are
asking it of me, so yes I will answer in a loud clear voice "*FRIDAY*", and
if I don't receive a check from them for $100,000 they will hear from my
lawyer.

​ John ​K Clark

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