On 1/7/2023 3:09 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Sat, Jan 7, 2023 at 1:13 AM Brent Meeker <meekerbr...@gmail.com> wrote:

        >> we have never seen even a hint of ET or his engineering and
there are only 2 viable explanations for that:
        *1)*For some unknown reason life is unable to make a
        significant impact on the universe.

        *2) *The observable universe is finite so somebody has to be
        the first, and we are it.

    > /Or *3)* No industrialized civilization lasts very long./


That's just part of #1, it's a proposed reason why life cannot make a significant impact on the universe, and it doesn't explain why no industrial civilization lasts very long. Most of the explanations for the ephemeral nature of intelligence that I've heard, like war or environmental change, are not very convincing;

Why is environmental change not convincing.  It's easily seen as a product of industrialization done without any global-unified response by a bunch creatures that evolved to function in small tribes.  It doesn't even have to be an extinction event to prevent a significant impact on the universe.

Even if human civilization continues another million years how do you imagine us making a significant impact on the universe?  Von Neumann machines?  It's certainly not inevitable that enough people will ever care to build one.

the only one that seems a little more plausible is drug abuse by beings that operate according to the laws of chemistry or electronic abuse by beings that operate according to the laws of electronics.

Or developing artificial digital environments to the level that people will explore all possible worlds without leaving this one.

Brent

If that's true then civilizations don't die in a bang or even in a whimper of pain but in a moan of pleasure.  I'm still hoping reason #2 is why we've seen no sign of ET.

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at Extropolis <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
8gn
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