--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "authfriend" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "do.rflex" <do.rflex@> wrote: > > > > "With commanding leads among women and young voters and near > > unanimous support from black voters," Sen. Barack Obama has > > a 50% to 41% lead over Sen. John McCain, according to a new > > Quinnipiac poll of likely voters released today. > > Today's poll from Rasmussen has Obama at 47%, McCain at 45%, > a dead heat, within the margin of error, down from Obama 49% > to McCain 44% at the beginning of July. > > http://tinyurl.com/67pgnn >
************* A more meaningful poll is based on the electoral college, not these national popular vote polls, which don't mean much because Obama's huge surplus in CA (he should win by 1.5+ million votes) gives an incorrect impression when lumped in with other votes from around the country -- every vote more than it takes for him to win CA is meaningless in terms of national victory -- Obama's got CA's 55 votes, more than 20% of what he needs to win, but that doesn't mean that he can crack the swing states. Rasmussen tracks the electoral vote, and Obama is ahead there, but it's clear that if he doesn't take Ohio and a couple other small states that went for Bush in 2004, he's not likely to win: http://tinyurl.com/2zx5mc
