--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "feste37" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > My guess is that the importance of the so-called Bradley effect has > been vastly overestimated. The Bradley effect happened in the early > 1980s, right? Things have changed a lot since then. I can't see the > reasoning behind it anyway. The idea is that people don't admit to > pollsters that they won't vote for Obama because he's black. But that > makes no sense. They could just say they plan to vote for McCain, and > give any old reason. Why should people be afraid or ashamed to tell an > anonymous pollster over a telephone who they intend to vote for? That > the Bradley effect could account for 4-5% of the vote seems impossible > to me. I think it's largely a myth. If I have this wrong, please > explain it to me. >
******** Even if the Bradley effect is not operative here, most analysts think the independents are breaking "white." Hopefully the economic crisis which Bushism has unloaded on the country will make people reject conscious or unconscious racial bias.
