They fired the Alameda County geologist after he accurately predicted the Loma Prieta quake. Like I said yesterday quakes have a propensity to occur around high tides because of the gravitational pull. This was researched by Russian scientists. The only problem is at this time we have no way of knowing which fault is ready to pop.

On 08/25/2014 10:58 AM, salyavin808 wrote:

Amazing, I can't believe the trial actually went ahead. I remember reading about it when the charges were first brought and felt like banging my head against a wall. I thought it must be some dumb media witch hunt but it seems they persisted. They were obviously damned whatever they said. There was an idea touted about earthquake prediction a few years back that looked good, it looked back over many years and claimed to find a correlation between quakes on any faultline and that they moved along the line quite predictably. They had some evidence from past quakes that this was the case and even used the data to predict one. But only one, it turned out to be another predictive false alarm caused by our old friend statistical clustering.

It is indeed especially tough to be a seismologist!

---In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, <turquoiseb@...> wrote :

A long read, but one that provides a fascinating glimpse into the world of -- and perils of -- trying to be a scientist in this increasingly unscientific age.

The Aftershocks <https://medium.com/matter/the-aftershocks-7966d0cdec66>
        
image <https://medium.com/matter/the-aftershocks-7966d0cdec66>
        
        
        
        
        
The Aftershocks <https://medium.com/matter/the-aftershocks-7966d0cdec66>
Seven of Italy’s top scientists were convicted of manslaughter after a catastrophic earthquake. What the hell really hap…

View on medium.com <https://medium.com/matter/the-aftershocks-7966d0cdec66>
        
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