https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2018/10/15/hyperalarming-study-shows-massive-insect-loss/?utm_term=.c1570d937213
 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/science/2018/10/15/hyperalarming-study-shows-massive-insect-loss/?utm_term=.c1570d937213

 By Ben Guarino https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/ben-guarino/



October 15 at 3:00 PM
 
 Insects around the world are in a crisis, according to a small but growing 
number of long-term studies showing dramatic declines in invertebrate 
populations. A new report http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1722477115 
suggests that the problem is more widespread than scientists realized. Huge 
numbers of bugs have been lost in a pristine national forest in Puerto Rico, 
the study found, and the forest’s insect-eating animals have gone missing, too.
 In 2014, an international team of biologists estimated that, in the past 35 
years, the abundance of invertebrates such as beetles and bees had decreased by 
45 percent http://science.sciencemag.org/content/345/6195/401.full. In places 
where long-term insect data are available, mainly in Europe, insect numbers are 
plummeting. A study last year showed a 76 percent decrease in flying insects 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/speaking-of-science/wp/2017/10/18/this-is-very-alarming-flying-insects-vanish-from-nature-preserves/?utm_term=.646ed11d4999
 in the past few decades in German nature preserves.
 The latest report, published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy 
of Sciences, shows that this startling loss of insect abundance extends to the 
Americas. The study’s authors implicate climate change in the loss of tropical 
invertebrates.
 “This study in PNAS is a real wake-up call — a clarion call — that the 
phenomenon could be much, much bigger, and across many more ecosystems,” said 
David Wagner http://hydrodictyon.eeb.uconn.edu/people/dwagner/, an expert in 
invertebrate conservation at the University of Connecticut who was not involved 
with this research. He added: “This is one of the most disturbing articles I 
have ever read.”
 Bradford  https://science.rpi.edu/biology/faculty/brad-listerLister 
https://science.rpi.edu/biology/faculty/brad-lister, a biologist at Rensselaer 
Polytechnic Institute in New York, has been studying rain forest insects in 
Puerto Rico since the 1970s. If Puerto Rico is the island of enchantment — “la 
isla del encanto” — then its rain forest is “the enchanted forest on the 
enchanted isle,” he said. Birds and coqui frogs trill beneath a 50-foot-tall 
emerald canopy. The forest, named El Yunque, is well-protected. Spanish King 
Alfonso XII claimed the jungle as a 19th-century royal preserve. Decades later, 
Theodore Roosevelt made it a national reserve, and El Yunque remains the only 
tropical rain forest https://www.fs.usda.gov/main/elyunque/about-forest in the 
National Forest system.
 “We went down in ’76, ’77 expressly to measure the resources: the insects and 
the insectivores in the rain forest, the birds, the frogs, the lizards,” Lister 
said.
 He came back nearly 40 years later, with his colleague Andrés García, an 
ecologist at the National Autonomous University of Mexico. What the scientists 
did not see on their return troubled them. “Boy, it was immediately obvious 
when we went into that forest,” Lister said. Fewer birds flitted overhead. The 
butterflies, once abundant, had all but vanished.
 García and Lister once again measured the forest’s insects and other 
invertebrates, a group called arthropods that includes spiders and centipedes. 
The researchers trapped arthropods on the ground in plates covered in a sticky 
glue, and raised several more plates about three feet into the canopy. The 
researchers also swept nets over the brush hundreds of times, collecting the 
critters that crawled through the vegetation.
 Each technique revealed the biomass (the dry weight of all the captured 
invertebrates) had significantly decreased from 1976 to the present day. The 
sweep sample biomass decreased to a fourth or an eighth of what it had been. 
Between January 1977 and January 2013, the catch rate in the sticky ground 
traps fell 60-fold.
 “Everything is dropping,” Lister said. The most common invertebrates in the 
rain forest — the moths, the butterflies, the grasshoppers, the spiders and 
others — are all far less abundant.
 “Holy crap,” Wagner said of the 60-fold loss.
 Louisiana State University entomologist Timothy Schowalter 
http://www.lsuagcenter.com/profiles/tschowalter, who is not an author of this 
recent report, has studied this forest since the 1990s. This research is 
consistent with his data, as well as the European biomass studies. “It takes 
these long-term sites, with consistent sampling across a long period of time, 
to document these trends,” he said. “I find their data pretty compelling.”
 The study authors also trapped anole lizards, which eat arthropods, in the 
rain forest. They compared these numbers with counts from the 1970s. Anole 
biomass dropped by more than 30 percent. Some anole species have altogether 
disappeared from the interior forest.
 Insect-eating frogs and birds plummeted, too. Another research team 
https://luq.lter.network/data/luqmetadata173used mist nets to capture birds in 
1990, and again in 2005. Captures fell by about 50 percent. Garcia and Lister 
analyzed the data with an eye on the insectivores. The ruddy quail dove, which 
eats fruits and seeds, had no population change. A brilliant green bird called 
the Puerto Rican tody 
https://neotropical.birds.cornell.edu/Species-Account/nb/species/purtod1/overview,
 which eats bugs almost exclusively, diminished by 90 percent.
 The food web appears to have been obliterated from the bottom. It’s credible 
that the authors link the cascade to arthropod loss, Schowalter said, because 
“you have all these different taxa showing the same trends — the insectivorous 
birds, frogs and lizards — but you don’t see those among seed-feeding birds.”
 Lister and Garcia attribute this crash to climate. In the same 40-year period 
as the arthropod crash, the average high temperature in the rain forest 
increased by 4 degrees Fahrenheit. The temperatures in the tropics stick to a 
narrow band. The invertebrates that live there, likewise, are adapted to these 
temperatures and fare poorly outside them; bugs cannot regulate their internal 
heat.
 
 
 




 UN Report: Temperatures to rise 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2030-2052







 The United Nations panel on climate issued a report warning of unprecedented 
temperature rise between 2030 and 2052 if global warming continues. (Reuters)


 A recent analysis of climate change and insects, published in August in the 
journal Science http://science.sciencemag.org/content/361/6405/916, predicts a 
decrease in tropical insect populations, according to an author of that study, 
Scott Merrill https://www.uvm.edu/gund/profiles/scott-merrill, who studies crop 
pests at the University of Vermont. In temperate regions farther from the 
equator, where insects can survive a wider range of temperatures, agricultural 
pests will devour more food as their metabolism increases, Merrill and his 
co-authors warned. But after a certain thermal threshold, insects will no 
longer lay eggs, he said, and their internal chemistry breaks down.
 The authors of a 2017 study of vanished flying insects in Germany suggested 
other possible culprits, including pesticides and habitat loss. Arthropods 
around the globe also have to contend with pathogens and invasive species.
 “It’s bewildering, and I’m scared to death that it’s actually death by a 
thousand cuts,” Wagner said. “One of the scariest parts about it is that we 
don’t have an obvious smoking gun here.” A particular danger to these 
arthropods, in his view, was not temperature but droughts and lack of rainfall.
 Lister pointed out that, since 1969, pesticide use has fallen more than 80 
percent in Puerto Rico. He does not know what else could be to blame. The study 
authors used a recent analytic method 
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/03610918.2015.1122048?journalCode=lssp20,
 invented by a professor of economics at Fordham University, to assess the role 
of heat. “It allows you to place a likelihood on variable X causing variable 
Y,” Lister said. “So we did that and then five out of our six populations we 
got the strongest possible support for heat causing those decreases in 
abundance of frogs and insects.”
 The authors sorted out the effects of weather like hurricanes and still saw a 
consistent trend, Schowalter said, which makes a convincing case for climate.
 “If anything, I think their results and caveats are understated. The gravity 
of their findings and ramifications for other animals, especially vertebrates, 
is hyperalarming,” Wagner said. But he is not convinced that climate change is 
the global driver of insect loss. “The decline of insects in northern Europe 
precedes that of climate change there,” he said. “Likewise, in New England, 
some tangible declines began in the 1950s.”
 No matter the cause, all of the scientists agreed that more people should pay 
attention to the bugpocalypse.
 “It’s a very scary thing,” Merrill said, that comes on the heels of a “gloomy, 
gloomy” U.N. report that estimated the world has a decade left  
https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/10/08/world-has-only-years-get-climate-change-under-control-un-scientists-say/?utm_term=.2bc091839d2cto
 wrangle climate change under control. But “we can all step up,” he said, by 
using more fuel-efficient cars and turning off unused electronics. The 
Portland, Ore.-based Xerces Society, a nonprofit environmental group that 
promotes insect conservation, recommends planting a garden  
https://xerces.org/pollinator-conservation/gardens/with native plants that 
flower throughout the year.
 “Unfortunately, we have deaf ears in Washington,” Schowalter said. But those 
ears will listen at some point, he said, because our food supply will be in 
jeopardy.
 Thirty-five percent 
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/27/science/decline-of-species-that-pollinate-poses-a-threat-to-global-food-supply-report-warns.html
 of the world’s plant crops requires pollination by bees, wasps and other 
animals. And arthropods are more than just pollinators. They’re the planet’s 
wee custodians, toiling away in unnoticed or avoided corners. They chew up 
rotting wood and eat carrion. “And none of us want to have more carcasses 
around,” Schowalter said. Wild insects provide $57 billion worth of six-legged 
labor in the United States each year, according to a 2006 estimate.
 
 The loss of insects and arthropods could further rend the rain forest’s food 
web, Lister warned, causing plant species to go extinct without pollinators. 
“If the tropical forests go it will be yet another catastrophic failure of the 
whole Earth system,” he said, “that will feed back on human beings in an almost 
unimaginable way.”

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