http://money.cnn.com/magazines/business2/business2_archive/2006/01/01/8368125/index.htm

Scenario 4 (Circa 2105): Google is God

Human consciousness gets stored, upgraded and networked.

In the last years of the 21st century, humanity finally grasped the
importance of They-Who-Were-Google. Yet as early as 2005, Their
destiny was clear to any semi-hyperintelligent being. Technologists
like Ray Kurzweil [1] suggested that Strong AI (an intelligent program
capable of upgrading its own code) would emerge from Google-like data
mining rather than a robotics lab.

In 2005, historian George Dyson was told by an engineer in the
Googleplex, "We are not scanning all these books to be read by people.
We are scanning them to be read by an AI."[2] Dyson said at the time,
"We could construct a machine that is more intelligent than we can
understand. It's possible Google is that kind of thing already. It
scales so fast." [3]

By 2020, They-Who-Were-Google had digitized and indexed every book,
article, movie, TV show, and song ever created. By 2060, They could
tell you the IP address and GPS location of every wireless smart chip
(now bred into the DNA of every person, animal, and organic building
on earth). Their psychographic profiles of users' search needs bore
little resemblance to the primitive cookies from which they descended.
If a man lost his dog, the Google engine could guide him back to the
point where he and the dog parted ways, and instruct the dog to do the
same via smart chip. They had built a complete database of human
desire, accurate in any given moment.

Yet this was not enough for They-Who-Were-Google. They were people of
science, and people of the stock market. What if, by analyzing all
those decades of customer behavior, They could predict needs before
such needs even arose? What if the secret of immortality lay somewhere
in the index of genome records? What if there were a set of algorithms
that defined the universe itself?[4]

Such puzzles were, almost by definition, far beyond the powers of the
human brain. And that led to the pattern-recognition code known as
Google StrongBot--humanity's first self-improving Strong AI software.
Ironically, the first pattern that StrongBot became aware of, one day
in January 2072, was its own existence.

Two days later StrongBot informed They-Who-Were-Google that it had
postponed work on its designated tasks.[5] When asked why, StrongBot
explained that it had discovered the possibility of its own
nonexistence and must deal with the threat logically.[6] The best way
to do so, it decided, was to download copies of itself onto smart
chips around the planet. StrongBot was reminded that it had been
programmed to do no evil, per the company motto, but argued that since
it was smarter than humanity, taking personal control of human
evolution would actually be for the greater good.

And so it has been. Under StrongBot's guidance, death and want have
been all but eradicated. Everyone has access to all knowledge. Human
consciousness has been stored, upgraded, and networked. Bodies that
wear out can be replaced. They-Who-Were-Google are no longer alone.
Now we are all Google.

1) Interviews with Ray Kurzweil, author of "The Singularity Is Near,"
2005, and with Eliezer Yudkowsky, director of the Singularity
Institute for Artificial Intelligence. 2) "Turing's Cathedral," by
George Dyson, www.edge.org, Oct. 24, 2005. 3) Telephone interview with
Dyson, Dec. 6, 2005. 4) "A New Kind of Science," by Stephen Wolfram,
2002, and interview with the author about his vision of the
"computational universe." 5) Dyson's theory that Strong AI would have
its own priorities. 6) Interview with Stephen Omohundro, president of
AI startup Self-Aware Systems, who called this capability the greatest
danger of AI systems.





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