>
> shempmcgurk wrote:
> >In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
> >movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: "The 
> >nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
> >Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy." ?

I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 

There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / world.
I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 scientists
contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified scientists.
Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn in a
random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
extreme biases in the sample.

That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. Particllary if
the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
account for non-respondents.

Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points? If so, thats
phenomenal. To have 100% of a sample (respondents) supporting the same
view, indicates a high degree of concensus among the larger population
of 10,000 (or so). Very little divergence (low sigman, low standard
deviation from the population mean.) 












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