"Ron Paul is not known outside of Iowa " - Gullible fool http://tinyurl.com/2lztdr
OffWorld --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, gullible fool <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > I had never heard of Ron Paul before I read about him > in FFL. I have not heard about him outside of FFL > since then. I have to ask how people outside of Iowa > even know who he is, if the news does nto cover him. > Perhaps fewer than are in the domes these days. > > --- off_world_beings <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, "boo_lives" > > <boo_lives@> > > wrote: > > > > > > First I work with advanced statistics every day, > > and in political > > > polling or market research a sample of 15,000 is > > much more > > significant > > > than a sample of 266. > > National polls for the entire country typically > > > use only a sample size of a few thousand. But I'm > > not talking some > > > kind of theoretical math, I'm talking common sense > > politics. The > > > Iowa straw poll is the one in which the > > politicians are actually in > > > the state wanting to win and the media are in the > > state giving it > > > coverage. >> > > > > You're still not getting it: > > > > Romney: 4516 votes; Paul: 1305 votes > > > > Romney: > > 4516/3,000,000 = x/100 > > = 0.15% > > (insignificant) > > > > > > Paul: > > 1305/3,000,000 = x/100 > > = 0.4% > > (insignificant) > > > > The straw poll in Iowa has no significance, with a > > Romney and > > millions spent win. No-one cares it is not > > significant. He amy win > > the nomination though, I am not saying that. But > > this is not a > > predictor of it. However, a Ron Paul win, or other > > underdog win > > there would have been a massive national news item. > > > > <This has historically always been the case. > > There's not > > > some conspiracy against Paul because the Alabama > > straw poll wasn't > > > covered by the media, it never is! >> > > > > Conceded. I never said it was. Stop making things > > up. > > > > << And the politicians know that so > > > they don't care about it! Except Paul apparently - > > in Alabama Paul > > got > > > 216 out of 266 votes - you think this is > > statistically > > representative > > > of anything?? It's an absurd result>> > > > > Agreed. And so is the Iowa straw poll. > > > > it's not even an outlier in the > > > universe of political polls out there right now. > > It's meaningless > > to > > > win a race, when you're the only one there trying. > > > > > > > > The iowa straw poll is not a good statistical > > predictor of exactly > > how > > > Iowa will "vote" at the caucus next year because > > it was a > > relatively > > > small turnout and you have to travel to Ames to > > vote and you had to > > > pay to vote, >> > > > > You have just shot yourself in the foot. 26,000 > > people paid to vote, > > and only 14,700 actaully voted. > > > > Why is that? > > > > > > > PS -- Let's put our statistical knowledge to the > > test - I'll bet > > you > > > $1000 that Paul will not win the Iowa Caucus next > > year.>> > > > > > > I never said he would win it. Stop making things up. > > > > Ron Paul will not win the Republican nomination, as > > I have said all > > along. He will then run as an independent and make a > > HUGE impact on > > American politics. > > > > Excpet for one thing. The Diebold machines will be > > used to swing all > > the main elections. They are entirely open to > > manipulation and in > > Iowa, the police were used to HIDE ALL THE VOTES > > FROM THE PUBLIC... > > FOREVER. THIS IS HOW IT WILL BE FOR YOU IN AMERICA > > IF YOU DO NOT > > WAKE UP ! > > > > OffWorld > > > > . > > > > > > > > To subscribe, send a message to: > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > Or go to: > > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ > > and click 'Join This Group!' > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > > > > > ______________________________________________________________________ ______________ > Luggage? GPS? Comic books? > Check out fitting gifts for grads at Yahoo! Search > http://search.yahoo.com/search? fr=oni_on_mail&p=graduation+gifts&cs=bz >
