Happy New Year and Goodwill to all FIS'ers and distinguished guests!

I found the concept of Quantum Bayesianism as presented by Professor von Baeyer 
most interesting. From the point of view of bringing the subject-object balance 
back into physics it is very congenial to Logic in Reality (LIR). I have 
several criticisms of this approach, however, which I will try to make clear in 
the absence of any real skills in quantum mechanics:

1. QBism seems not to consider the option of using non-standard, 
non-Kolmogorivian probabilities to describe quantum and non-quantum nature, 
that is, with values >0 but <1.

2. It excludes the case, impossible by classical logic, but basic to physics 
and LIR, of a dynamic interaction between the subject and the object which 
allows both views ("belief" and "facts") to be partly true or better operative 
at the same time or at different times.

3. Since the QBism interpretation does not deal with points 1. and 2. above 
(also in the Fuchs, Mermin, Shack paper), it leaves the door open to an 
anti-realist interpretation not only of quantum mechanical reality, but of 
reality /tout court/ which must be based on and reflect the quantum 
'situation'. 

I would welcome responses to the above that might help me and others understand 
the scope of QBism and whether, as I hope, my LIR approach, which is based on 
values like non-standard probabilities might actually supplement rather than 
contradict it.

Best wishes,

Joseph


  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Hans von Baeyer 
  To: fis@listas.unizar.es 
  Sent: Thursday, January 02, 2014 9:25 PM
  Subject: [Fis] New Year Lecture


  Quantum Bayesianism (QBism): An interpretation of quantum mechanics based on 
quantum information theory

  Hans Christian von Baeyer, Professor of Physics, emeritus

  College of William and Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia

  January 2014



              I am honored and proud to be asked by Pedro to inaugurate the 
tradition of “New Year Lecture” to the FIS community, in the spirit of the 
Royal Institution’s “Christmas Lectures”, which have been presented in London 
almost every year since 1825.  Those shows were originally intended for a 
“juvenile audience”, but have always captivated young and old alike.  My 
electronic lecture is not for children, but like many of its famous 
predecessors it features a mind-boggling experiment.  In spite of the scholarly 
nature my topic – the interpretation of quantum mechanics – my principal 
message is simple, and I hope relevant to our quest for the meaning of 
information.  I look forward to a lively discussion after my virtual lecture!

              QBism (with a capital B) is a radical new interpretation of 
quantum mechanics that resolves many of the paradoxes that have bedeviled the 
theory since its invention. The technical successes of quantum theory are 
unchanged and undisputed -- only the meaning of the formalism is re-appraised.  
 The revision has far-reaching implications for the scientific worldview in 
general.   

              The crucial move for QBism, inspired by quantum information 
theory, is very simple.  It consists of revising the predominant interpretation 
of probability.  Most physicists accept the frequentist interpretation of 
probability as “favorable outcomes/all possible outcomes”.   Even though this 
definition becomes rigorous only in the unrealistic limit of an infinite number 
of trials, it is claimed to be objective.  QBism is based instead on the older 
Bayesian interpretation, which defines probability as “degree of belief.”  
Specifically, the probability that an event will occur is an agent’s personal 
assignment of betting odds for the occurrence of the event.  It is based on all 
the information available to the agent, and is explicitly subjective.  Bayesian 
probability, unlike frequentist probability, is meaningful for a single, 
unrepeatable event.   

              Bayesianism is more general than frequentism.  In many cases, 
such as normal laboratory practice, Bayesian probability can be measured by 
conventional frequentist procedures, but the meaning of the result remains 
Bayesian. (Similarly, temperature is measured by a thermometer, but its meaning 
runs much deeper.) Bayesianism thus absorbs the successes of frequentism. 

              By combining Bayesian probability with conventional quantum 
mechanics, QBism locates the result of a calculation in the mind of the agent 
who makes it. The Schrödinger wavefunction, which is a compendium of 
information about a quantum system, and in turn yields probabilities for the 
outcomes of future experiments, becomes subjective as well.  Input for 
assigning betting odds comes from the experiments the agent performs herself, 
added to information she gathers from the written and oral records of science, 
i.e. from the totality of her personal experiences.  Since wavefunctions are 
not real in this scheme, the problems associated with such phenomena as the 
“collapse of the wavefunction” (when probability snaps into certainty as a 
result of a measurement), Schrödinger’s cat, nonlocality, and Bell 
inequalities, issues that were interminably debated during the twentieth 
century, all dissolve.

              The notorious problem of wavefunction collapse, for example, 
which defies both mathematical description and the relativistic speed limit, is 
interpreted as the modification of a probability assignment by a measurement.  
It is a straightforward application of Bayes’ Law (also known as Bayes’ Theorem 
or Rule) for updating a probability upon the acquisition of new information.  
In this way QBism provides a natural and convincing explanation of the 
mysterious collapse.  

              Apparent nonlocality is displayed most dramatically in an 
experiment suggested in 1989 by Daniel Greenberger, Michael Horne, and Anton 
Zeilinger (GHZ).  The spin of a “spin 1/2 particle” (such as an electron) can 
be measured along one axis at a time -- say pointing up or down (U/D) along the 
z axis, or, alternatively, right or left (R/L) along the x axis.  Three 
identical particles are brought into close contact, and prepared in the special 
GHZ configuration, in which they are said to be “entangled.”  They are then 
separated by large distances and it is found that whenever two of them point in 
the same horizontal direction, the third one points UP. (DOWN, if the first two 
point in opposite directions.) Thus LLU, RRU, RLD and LRD are found among the 
measurement results, but LLD, RRD, RLU and LRU never occur.  A mnemonic: If 
your two index fingers point in the same horizontal direction, one thumb 
(representing the third particle,) points up. If they point in opposite 
horizontal directions the thumb points down.  In short: thumbs UP for 
agreement, thumbs DOWN for disagreement.

              This configuration displays classical correlations, reminiscent 
of two bar magnets which, when in contact, align north pole to south pole.  If 
the magnets are then separated without rotation, their orientations remain 
correlated throughout their subsequent histories.  Observing one instantly 
reveals the direction of the other, regardless of their distance of separation. 

              The horizontal and vertical spin directions of particles in a GHZ 
state could conceivably assume their values during preparation, and retain them 
as they are separated.  GHZ states have, in fact, been assembled, and their 
properties have been confirmed experimentally.  They are robust. Once two 
horizontal spins have been measured, the third, vertical spin can be predicted 
with certainty.  Einstein would have considered it to be a “real” property of 
the third particle, pre-existing any observation.  

              Quantum mechanics throws a spanner into the works. Suppose that 
the experimenter assembles a GHZ state, but measures the first two spins along 
the z axis, obtaining UU.  What is the prediction for the third vertical spin?  
In any triangular relationship, if two pairs agree, the third pair must agree 
also (transitivity).  Since all three horizontal spins (if they were measured) 
would point in the same direction, the third spin should  point UP, so the 
classical, logical prediction for the allowed state is UUU. Quantum mechanics, 
however, decrees that UUU is forbidden, and that the result is UUD instead.  
Experiments confirm this seemingly bizarre prediction.

              GHZ presents a choice between realism and locality, defined as 
the absence of spooky action-at-a-distance. The paradox can be resolved in one 
of two ways.  Many physicists insist on realism – believing that theory should 
describe nature as it really is.  This implies that properties predictable with 
certainty pre-exist the measurement – that they are carried along by the 
particle.  Some realistic interpretations of quantum mechanics require that the 
Schrödinger wavefunction is nonlocal.  In the case of GHZ this means that the 
first two measurements yielding UU, even though they take place far from the 
third particle, instantaneously influence its spin and constrain it to point 
down.

              The second option for GHZ is to give up realism in favor of 
locality – the QBist approach. The wavefunction becomes a purely abstract 
mathematical object designed to predict measurement outcomes.  The unmeasured 
horizontal spins cannot be invoked to make logical inferences: they have no 
values at all unless they enter an agent’s experience. Once the first two 
vertical spins are measured, they co-exist at one location – the agent’s mind – 
where they become input information for the (correct) quantum mechanical 
calculation.  

              Quoting from the second reference below: “[B]ecause everything 
any of us knows about the world is constructed out of his or her individual 
private experience, it can be unwise to rely on a picture of the physical world 
from which personal experience is explicitly excluded, as it has been from 
physical science.  Schrödinger traces this exclusion back more than two 
thousand years to the ancient Greeks.  It worked for over two millennia and 
played an important role in the construction of classical science.

              But when we attempted to understand phenomena not directly 
accessible to our senses, our ingrained practice of divorcing the objects of 
our investigations from the subjective experiences they induce in us got us 
into trouble.   While our efforts at dealing with phenomena at these new scales 
were spectacularly successful, we have just as spectacularly failed for almost 
a century to reach agreement about the nature or meaning of that success.” 

              QBism, by placing human experience at the center of a new 
worldview, suggests a way of “restoring the subject-object balance” to science.

              My popular exposition of QBism was published in the June 2013 
issue of SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN and some of its translations.  A more 
sophisticated but non-mathematical primer dated 20 November 2013, by 
Christopher Fuchs, David Mermin, and Rüdiger Schack, is available gratis at 
www.arxiv.org with the ID number 1311.5253v1.



  HAPPY NEW YEAR 2014!





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