Alan wrote:

>the law of averages, if i have got this right, means that if six monkeys
were thrown upin the air for long enough they would land on their tails
about as often as the would land on their -<

Aaah, Alan it's not that simple:

For coins the probability of getting either a head or a tail is 0.5 because
the construction of a coin is such that it will not land on its side only on
its head side or tail side.

So if you throw coins for long enough you will find that you get heads
roughly as often as tails - empiricism rocks ;)

However monkeys, when thrown, land unpredictably. So in order to work out
the above problem you need to consider all possible ways that a monkey can
land and work out the probability value of each of these landings. If two
probabilities are equal then you will be able to correctly formulate and
complete the above statement.

As I tip I recommend the use of either hardwearing or cheap monkeys in your
experiments as I expect you will wear out a fair number of monkeys in the
process of your research.

cheers,

Sol.
[Please note: no monkeys were harmed in the writing of this e-mail!]

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