When I analyze different language version I have developed a small model 
dividing up the versions into being in one out of three development phases
-The buildup phase where mostly just more articles are added. Most of 
the bigger versions have left this phase but many newer one are still in 
this. I see it as a sign of failure on these, when the number of access 
to the version decrease on a yearly base, look at the sicilian, faroese 
or lombardian versions. Fewer accesses will mens less interest, fewer 
newer editor and probably decreasing value and quality that could very 
well be a sign bad circle making it successively worse
-The consolidating phase, where most major versions are today (except en 
and de). Here quality, content and seriousness will be in focus. If we 
fail here we will no attract new editors and/or seniors ("we do not want 
to contribute to something too amateurish"). Perhaps the Danish version 
is a good example of the problems not succeeding in this phase. On the 
Swedish version we have for  a year and a half  have had focus on 
quality and this summer we actually see very promising figures, traffic 
increasing +20% on a yearly baser, record numbers of new articles, many 
new "older" contributers. Perhaps we have passed  the mid-life crises?
-The mature phase where I see only en and de being, and where focus is 
content sources etc. here I see a risk of us being too elitistic and 
discouraging younger contributers. Working very much with iw linking I 
actually am starting to find many articles missing on de:wp nowadays, 
mostly in "semi-serious" areas like comicstrip heroes etc. It could be a 
warning sign and a risk that we frighten away our original core of young 
enthusiasts to other wikis which in the long run could become 
competitors to de:wp.

 Anders

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