On 02/03/07, Doug Poland <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
On Fri, March 2, 2007 13:24, Marc G. Fournier wrote:
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> Well, I skip'd reporting last month, like anyone missed it, right?
>
I did :)
> Well, last month, and this month, have been seen ~10% increases in
> first of month numbers, so its still growing ...
>
The numbers are still so low that I question if the project's goal
will be realized. Is it too early to extrapolate what the "real"
numbers may be? i.e., if we've got 5000 FreeBSD hosts, and we know
about 1 in 50 register, then there are probably 250,000 hosts in the
wild?
Based on a bit of trolling about, netcraft's most recent
survey (that I could find) including operating systems
numbers, which is March 2001 (surveys after that do not
seem to have any sort of detailed OS counts), gives the
BSDs as a whole at 6.3%, which is about 1.8 million
sites running on one of the BSDs. Further futzing leads
to http://leb.net/hzo/ioscount/data/r.9904.txt which shows
as of April of 1999 15% of hosts being BSDs of some sort.
The only queried about 1.7million hosts, though, and hosts
are not sites or domain names.
If I were an environemntal science major, I would conclude
that BSDs as a whole are losing 4.3% of the aggregate
per year, and currently have -19.5% of the web. Further
more, by the year 2156 (when Mola Ram is due to rip the
still beating heart from tEh interwob) the BSD family, including
such holdouts as BSDi, FrogBSD, SkullCapBSD, and
whatever fork of NetBSD happens to work on a nucul0r
toaster of the year 2156 will be so widely deinstalled that
you will need to write almost 2 billion new distros a month
just to keep up with how many are being moved to iis. Also,
there won't be any oil and your kids's kids will have suntans
on their bone marrow.
These numbers are important because they show that
marketing works.
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