or... you could use such a model to do the ultimate unthinkable thing of helping you study the physical world and its (mis)behavioral differences... :-)
Phil Henshaw ¸¸¸¸.·´ ¯ `·.¸¸¸¸ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 680 Ft. Washington Ave NY NY 10040 tel: 212-795-4844 e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED] explorations: www.synapse9.com -- "it's not finding what people say interesting, but finding what's interesting in what they say" -- > -----Original Message----- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Marcus G. Daniels > Sent: Monday, February 11, 2008 6:33 PM > To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Modeling the Middle East? > > > Carver Tate wrote: > > Do they really think this is possible? How accurate do you > all think > > this could possibly be? > > > > http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/02/pentagon-wants.html > One way to look at it is that such models provide rigor in encoding > intelligence -- situational awareness. > > Even if all you get is a geographical database of where > resources are, > what major classes of relevant actors are, and there > interconnections, > that can be useful by itself. It's just that an agent model > also gets > you the possibility of testing longer-term and indirect > consequences of > possible actions in the virtual world. They may turn out be poor > predictions, but if that happens you can see if it is feasible to > improve the model, or just decide not to try to make certain sorts of > prediction. > > Marcus > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org > > ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
