Bruce -

I second the motion (very good post)!

Mendeleev's Periodic Chart was *my* first introduction (back when) to the very concept of having a predictive model that was (almost) entirely void of explanatory ability (as it stood when constructed). I found the notion *fascinating* and it drove me into the field of Visual (Perceptual) Analytics many years later... seeking patterns that yield useful prediction without necessarily waiting for an explanatory model.

For those vaguely interested in the philosophical underpinnings of science, it's methods and utility, I recommend Galit Schmueli's (George Washington U's) paper on Predictive vs Explanatory Models (as well as *Descriptive* models)...

   arxiv.org/pdf/1101.0891




Thanks! Glad you liked it!

I have long been bemused by the strong parallels among the various
tales I was able to tell in that post.

Bruce

On Mon, Jul 9, 2012 at 4:43 PM, Pamela McCorduck <pam...@well.com> wrote:
Bruce, that blog post is marvelous in its simplicity and power.

Pamela



On Jul 9, 2012, at 2:39 PM, Bruce Sherwood wrote:

See my blog:

http://matterandinteractions.wordpress.com/2012/07/09/the-higgs-boson-and-prediction-in-science/

Bruce

On Sun, Jul 8, 2012 at 10:18 PM, Owen Densmore <o...@backspaces.net> wrote:

Lets chat about the Higgs discovery, its likely-hood of being correct, and

the impact it will have going forward .. at the next Friam @ St Johns.


Could someone see if Hywel White is available .. or anyone you know who'd

like to hold forth on the topic!


   -- Owen


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"Im Deutschen lügt man, wenn man höflich ist."

"In German, if one is polite, one lies."

Goethe, "Faust"


============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
============================================================
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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