Gill, 

 

By the time I got to the NOAA dynamic link, it was warning only of frost.  Look 
out for your tomato sets tonight folks, so I don’t know if ABQ-metro was 
actually warned for tornados today.  Or even if there was a watch.  Where I 
live in Massachusetts gets “watched” 2-3 times a year, and warned perhaps once 
a year.  There have been two catastrophic tornadoes there in my lifetime, and 
many smaller events.  Despite the fact that I have looking hard for 60 years, I 
have never seen a tornado.  Frank has seen one, over La Bajada, I think.    

 

Two points: I never claimed that no tornadoes could ever occur in Santa Fe 
County, only that the probability of a damaging one in your lifetime is so low 
as not worth the worry.  Substantially LESS than the risk of a damaging 
earthquake in Seattle or a damaging fire in Santa Fe during the same period.  
Please look at the table at the  bottom of my email message.  Second, while the 
weather office and the TV station are in ABQ, today’s tornadoes were mostly 
EAST of the central mountain chain.   

 

So I think NOAA-ABQ is on my side in this argument.  

 

Nick 

 

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

 <http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/> 
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 

From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Gillian Densmore
Sent: Friday, May 19, 2017 7:19 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] To all you Tectonics Deniers out there!

 

@nick I don't pretend to know how the weather works. (other than hope it does. 
) Noaa politely disagrees re: tornados.

https://www.google.com/#q=tornado+warnings+today+in+new+mexico

 

krqe.com/2017/05/09/photos-funnel-clouds-spotted-in-new-mexico/ 
<http://krqe.com/2017/05/09/photos-funnel-clouds-spotted-in-new-mexico/> 

1.      

 

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/new-mexico/articles/2017-05-09/storm-in-new-mexico-spawns-small-tornado-that-uproots-trees

 

http://www.koat.com/article/storm-in-new-mexico-spawns-small-tornado-that-uproots-trees/9627250

 

LOL not that I'm looking to argue ^_^  I differ to you're far greater 
experience re:weather. 

I didn't even know their was such a thing as 'categor 0' type tornados is a 
thing. I'd heard of type 1 3 occasionally 5  either someone on weather watch 
made a typo, google voice didn't understand them, or it reely is a thing and at 
a guess meens something relatively small, shake a windows. make quite a bit of 
noise, hail etc

Cyclones in NM is definatly unsual and pretty rare acording to wikipedia. ABQ 
journal has (had?) pictures of some funnel clouds in the ABQ area as well.

 

I was just point out the weather is definatly changing some and that some 
people are trolling that it's not. While others just haven't experience a bit 
of screwy weather and are simply conflicted what they think and believe.

 

 

 

On Fri, May 19, 2017 at 6:29 PM, Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net 
<mailto:nickthomp...@earthlink.net> > wrote:

Gill, 

 

If you want to have a horrific anxiety about living In Santa Fe, it would be an 
urban fire that I would entertain, not a tornado.  Tornadoes require three 
elements, moisture, lift, and shear.  (Shear is the shifting of wind speeds and 
directions with altitude.)  Both shear and lift are present in Santa Fe County, 
as evidence by the cracking good individual thunderstorms but it’s hard to get 
the high levels of water vapor in here necessary for anything but the weakest 
tornadoes.  Only a hundred miles east is a different story. 

 

While the high desert of central and western new mexico plays has few 
tornadoes, it plays an important role in the generation of tornadoes elsewhere 
in the country.  Although we think of Santa Fe summers as being relatively 
cool, the air here in the summer, taking account of its altitude, is actually 
very warm.  When the wind flow is from the west two things simultaneously 
happen.  First, our warm desert air blows out over the plains as an elevated 
layer which forms cap over the atmosphere below it.   Second, the “slumping” of 
the air current as it is forced out over the sangres, tends to form a low level 
low pressure area downstream in eastern New Mexico.  In to this low pressure 
areas drawn very moist gulf air from the SE and very cold Canadian air from the 
NE.  These together form a very complex laminated atmosphere which is 
conditionally unstable.  In the mornings, before the sun gets working, it is 
stable because of the warm air aloft; in the afternoon the heating and the 
moistening of the lower levels by the action of the sun on the ground makes it 
more and more unstable until, violently, the whole atmosphere turns over and 
you get huge rotating groups of thunderstorms called Meso-convective complexes. 
 In short, as long as you stay in Santa Fe county, you are very safe from 
…tornadoes.  

 

Here are the data: 

 

Santa Fe County Tornadoes



   217  MAY 25, 1956    1  11:54   0    0   0  35.00 -106.30  35.18 -106.13 49

   427  AUG 20, 1956    4  13:30   0    0   1  35.17 -106.20  00.00       0 49

   486  MAY 30, 1957    8  13:20   0    0   0  35.20 -105.90  00.00       0 49

   180  MAY  9, 1959    5  16:00   0    0   0  35.20 -106.00  00.00       0 49

   181  MAY  9, 1959    6  16:00   0    0   0  35.20 -106.00  00.00       0 49

   235  MAY 15, 1959    7  13:45   0    0   0  35.70 -106.00  00.00       0 49

   572  SEP 30, 1960    6  17:30   0    0   0  35.20 -106.00  00.00       0 49

   564  AUG 16, 1961   11  13:30   0    0   0  35.50 -105.90  00.00       0 49

   213  MAY 26, 1966    2  15:18   0    0   0  35.00 -106.10  00.00       0 49

   585  DEC 26, 1966   16  18:40   0    0   1  35.87 -106.00  00.00       0 49

   144  APR 15, 1971    2  15:00   0    0   1  35.65 -105.98  00.00       0 49

   385  JUN 15, 1972   10  16:28   0    0   0  35.38 -106.08  00.00       0 49

   513  JUN  8, 1989    8  17:45   0    0   0  35.07 -106.20  00.00       0 49

   514  JUN  8, 1989    9  18:12   0    0   1  35.08 -105.90  35.08 -105.78 49

   969  AUG 15, 1990   13  18:14   0    0   0  35.40 -105.75  00.00       0 49

   942  JUN 29, 1991   28  17:00   0    0   0  35.68 -105.95  00.00       0 49

   716  JUN  9, 2007   19  15:45   0    0   0  35.47 -105.24  35.49 -105.21 49

   717  JUN  9, 2007   20  16:10   0    0   0  35.46 -105.17  35.46 -105.17 49

  1431  AUG 17, 2008       16:40   0    0   0  35.58 -105.84  35.58 -105.83 49

  1626  OCT 11, 2008       18:33   0    0   0  35.15 -105.94  00.00       0 49

   903  JLY 18, 2009       21:02   0    0   0  35.20 -106.18  35.19 -106.17 49

386045  JLY 24, 2012       15:57   0    0   0  35.62 -106.04  35.62 -106.04 49

410374  OCT 12, 2012       17:08   0    0   0  35.63 -105.67  35.67 -105.58 49  

 

 

 

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

 <http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/> 
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 

From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com 
<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com> ] On Behalf Of Gillian Densmore
Sent: Friday, May 19, 2017 4:25 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com 
<mailto:friam@redfish.com> >
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] To all you Tectonics Deniers out there!

 

@Nick as to weather changes that's a weird one to me.  As a concrete example NM 
started a tornado season. That raised several concerns for me. Several of my 
friends are around 4C physcally even if mentally they feel about 25 to 30. My 
parents have a basement (ish): Can they get to it? Is their house even built 
sturdy enough for a full Cat1 much less that Cat4? (and not the RJ-45 Copper)  
etc. Santa Fe has a hard time with basic radeo. LANAL's WW2 eta air sirens 
might be tested regularly. I have no idea of Santa Fe even has them still or if 
they work. 

Sufficed to say their was what the weather service and pls translate called a 
'Cat 0' cyclone litterally over my house at about 0100 .While aww inspiring to 
see that type electic storm: NOAA claims NM hasn't had to wory about Cyclones 
of any sort for about 1million years or so.

Yeah global weather weirdness is definatly a thing.

 

Part of it is willful. Part of it is they 'just aint from these here parts' lol 
and now for Yesterday News!

 

Ralf Fufino (Hulk/Batner) his foundation and one of his many geeky interests is 
science. He talks and tweets alot about just the pragmatics of the whole thing. 
Like asking who likes paying 2.5 to 3Euro  per litter of desell or gas?

Wouldn't it be fun and just dead useful to have cars that you zip around on air 
and sun power?

 

As to the weird polotics. Many of you remember hos weird it probably was like 
having carter and nixon. I can only guess. 

(laughing politely here) as carter put it on his blog: 'And they got mad at me 
for being inspired by StarTrek and at least trying to make America just plain 
nice and fun to live in?' (paraphrasing slightly as I don't have the exact 
quote in front of me) 

I experienced how weirdly cool in a strange geeky way B.Clinton was. and 
vaguely recall him (trying to) do some hopefull and helpful things at the time. 
He had some pretty odd personalities to wrangle (Gangreen and his infamously 
long hour slow rants about...everything?) 

BClinton had his share of weird polotics. Rigging the election with KGB's help 
wasn't one of his qurks that I recall anway. I seem to recall his legal and 
polical issues were more about being a stoner into women. .  Now we have a have 
a troll  giving  Nixon and Geral Ford a serius run for trollness.. 

 

 

I'd say it's safe to say if untill you experience weird ruralness or have your 
nerves jolted a few times by earth quakes or meet some Uber Geeks. heads of 
nasa and Aims Research.. for some it probably seems like far off thing or 
something not to be concerned about. Those are the ones I have hope for. Like I 
said a few times nick  Drumpf is a troll. He's getting into trouble for being a 
troll and keeps doing things that are just trolls. Sooner or later that catches 
up with  them. 

On a ligher note:  "Their is a old Teran maxim. Only nixon can go to china" 
-Spock.StarTrek Undiscovered Countery.

 

sudo cat  /usr/friam/poltics.txt >/usr/dev/null)

 

Hope that helps you nick ^_^

 

You may need to ask doug to translate the unix joke...if he's willing or 
reading. 

 

On Thu, May 18, 2017 at 9:41 PM, Nick Thompson <nickthomp...@earthlink.net 
<mailto:nickthomp...@earthlink.net> > wrote:

To the Local Congregation, 

 

Tomorrow is going to be my last FRIAM for a bit.  So, I am hoping to leave with 
answers to the following two questions.  The first comes from an R. G. 
Colleague of mine from France and Serbia, etc.  

 

“Interference” in elections has been going on between countries forever, and we 
and the British are particularly adept at it with our BBC’s and our “Cultural 
Programs”, and the CIA screwing the Iranian elections, etc.  So, why is the 
Russian interference in our election (and the French election)(and the Brexit 
vote) such a big deal?  What is special about it?  Are we just being whiners 
and crybabies?

 

The second is entirely my own, and is, in fact, a left-over from a conversation 
we were having last week: 

 

Some people think that global warming, coastal flooding, etc., is not something 
to worry about and “we”call those people “climate deniers”.  “We” have many 
friends, relatives, and financial commitments in the Bay Area of California, in 
Seattle and in the Los Angeles basin, where at least one very severe earthquake 
is very likely in the next 20 years.  Are “we” tectonics deniers?  

 

Discuss.  Give your reasons. 

 

Nick 

 

Nicholas S. Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology

Clark University

 <http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/> 
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 

From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com 
<mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com> ] On Behalf Of Owen Densmore
Sent: Thursday, May 18, 2017 9:13 PM
To: Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com> >
Subject: [FRIAM] Facebook. And this it not a troll

 

I'm following Melanie Mitchell's SFI complexity mooc. 

  
https://www.complexityexplorer.org/courses/74-introduction-to-complexity-spring-2017/segments/5687

 

In the first video, it was mentioned Facebook is a fascinating example of a 
complex system, and in particular, how information traverses the network.

 

So here's a group question or two:

- If you use Facebook, how do you use it and why?

- And if yes, how is it an information source for you?

 

My interest is the contrast between Facebook and Twitter. Twitter is "the most 
information per square inch" but Facebook seems to me to be all over the map.

 

A second difference is that there are people for which Facebook *is* The Web. 
By that I mean they enter it and stay there. It is their "email", "web", 
"social", "team (slack)", "tv" (FB recently started streaming video), and more. 
Sorta like the browser is for other ecosystems.

 

So any interesting observation on The FaceBook Phenomenon?

 

   -- Owen


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