Preprint below.
Has this been discussed already?
Seems like a fairly key new piece of information in the covid19 version of the Drake Equation (with a time component).
This seems to be a decent guess at the fraction truly infected number.
Of course, there are self-selection effects on the population, but they attempted to control for them it looks like. Also, none of the antibody tests has been certified by the feds yet.
If you know of any other antibody testing that has better randomization, please post!
-Jim
preprint:
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