Glen, But why would the people of Thurston be any less Easter Bumpy than the people of Santa Fe? Not good for the Easter Bump Theory.
Is there any evidence of a Lockdown Bounce? I keep seeing in tracings a flattening and then about a week later a new rise and then finally a long slope down. Does that seem familiar to you? By the way, Glen, those are some handsome charts. Nick Nicholas Thompson Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology Clark University thompnicks...@gmail.com https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ -----Original Message----- From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ? Sent: Thursday, April 23, 2020 1:45 PM To: FriAM <friam@redfish.com> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Local News not so good So, I've been monitoring both the NYT and JHU data pretty much every day. But I like looking at raw data more than fits (which are just another type of visualization [ptouie]). But as a slight capitulation to the hunt for an Easter bump, I added a spline to my regular plots. Maybe this will help spot any bumps? (I'm still more interested in DeKalb county, if Kemp insists on relaxing the closures this weekend.) On 4/23/20 8:41 AM, uǝlƃ ☣ wrote: > Bah! The rt.live people must have been listening to our conversation. 8^) > We'll have to look elsewhere for the Easter bump. > > https://rt.live/ >> Model Updates >> >> Based on suggestions and ideas from the community, we made a major model >> update on 4/23. The new version of this model accounts for variation in >> serial interval and delay between onset of symptoms and a positive test. >> Because of these changes, it is also more robust to large changes in >> reported tests. However, this also means that Rt will be far less variable >> day-to-day than the previous model. > > -- ☣ uǝlƃ .-. .- -. -.. --- -- -..-. -.. --- - ... -..-. .- -. -.. -..-. -.. .- ... .... . ... FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/
