Nick is a big fan of scientific story - at least "popular science" conveyed 
with stories - ala "Private Lives of Garden Birds" by Calvin Simonds.

davew


On Tue, May 19, 2020, at 10:13 AM, [email protected] wrote:
> Steve,

> 

> Re stories, that’s probably why I was drawn to Darwinism. Every Darwinian 
> explanation, no matter how sophisticated, is a story, a historical narrative, 
> arising from plausible suppositions about the way things were. Last time I 
> read the literature, the mitochondrial data on humans suggested that we arose 
> from a single, smallish, group in southern Africa. If that’s not an 
> idiographic (as opposed to nomothetic) account, I don’t know what is.

> 

> Nick

> Nicholas Thompson

> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

> Clark University

> [email protected]

> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

> 

> 

> 


> *From:* Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Steve Smith
> *Sent:* Tuesday, May 19, 2020 9:04 AM
> *To:* [email protected]
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Miller, miller moths everywhere...

> 

> Nick -

> I *like* this kind of anecdotal/vernacular science. I think Glen might refer 
> to these stories/ideas as "just so stories" because they seem to be post-hoc 
> fitting of simple yet in some sense apt models to anecdotal data gathered 
> ad-hoc but widely. I think I understand (and agree) with his (implied) 
> judgment of them as being "real science" but they smack of something more 
> than "wishful thinking", maybe "whimsical thinking"? And a sort of 
> proto-science. Or a collective form of knowledge/wisdom formation which lacks 
> the formal rigor of modern science. Related to what Dave appeals to with us 
> perhaps in Jung and other ideas of collective consciousness. A step away from 
> believing that the cosmos and everyday life are ordered by a (the) 
> angry/benevolent god(esses) toward believing something perhaps equally 
> absurd, that everything is ordered by mathematics.

> My father was second-generation college educated... with a BS in biology 
> preparing him for an advanced degree in Forestry (soil and range science), 
> and his parents before him both held BS degrees in Geology. But they were all 
> still rooted in a style of understanding the world (minerals, plants and 
> animals, and people) which was roughly animistic... they all still lived 
> physically close to the earth and virtually all of their relatives were still 
> living in the hills and hollers of Appalachia. This could easily explain why 
> I "like" the anecdotal/vernacular and distrust the *over* application of 
> mathematics.

> I've rattled on before about the *explanatory* power of models and the 
> hypotheses they embody vs *predictive* or *communicative* or *descriptive* or 
> even *inspirational*. These are not orthogonal, but I think still useful... a 
> "descriptive" model of the utlity/power of scientific thinking/modeling?

> - Steve

> FWIW... re: Jon's report on their nutritive value, my young chickens (6 weeks 
> today?) have been foraging in our courtyard for about a week during the day. 
> At first they showed significant interest in the flies that would occasion 
> their feeder, but seemed to learn quickly that they were not fast enough to 
> catch them, and soon discovered the myriad ground insects that they could 
> find by pecking and scratching. I was sitting on a low wall next to a couple 
> of them... they seem to like the company of humans and will come close and do 
> their foraging near me, even though I rarely hand feed them. I looked down 
> and one was swallowing a very large grey-brown object which I am now sure was 
> a miller. The miller moth infestation/epidemic/peak at my house (near the Rio 
> Grande) seems to have lagged that of the one in Santa Fe and even just up the 
> Pojoaque Valley where people have been reporting the deluge for weeks. Ours 
> just started a few days ago.

> Speaking of anecdotal and just-so science stories. I find it fascinating to 
> note that these birds, supposedly not THAT removed from their wild ancestors 
> are constructed from a single *large enough to eat for breakfast* egg-cell in 
> about 20 days and emerge almost fully able to survive alone (though they 
> benefit from the warmth and protection and guidance of a mother hen, or some 
> people with a heat-lamp and some agri-industrially formulated food and our 
> own curiosity). And then, not too much later, they begin to "shed an egg" 
> nearly daily (if you keep taking them away) which if fertilized, would repeat 
> the construction, growth process right in front of my eyes. Aside from their 
> daily egg-gift, I look forward to their help in insect control in my 
> garden.... I can tolerate many pests in the garden but some years we get 
> grasshoppers and squash bugs, each who can decimate a crop. 

> I've always enjoyed watching the Sphynx/Hummingbird moths around the 
> homestead, but did not know their larval form was the "dreaded" tomato worm. 
> Last year, I was surprised to see that along with my tomatoes, they had 
> discovered the volunteer datura that come up here and there around the 
> property and two or three had ganged up on one plant and stripped it bare of 
> leaves. I wondered at how their metabolism handled the kind of alkaloids that 
> humans (and cattle?) experience as "loco weed". The datura, with it's heavily 
> cholorphylled and thick stems seemed to survive just fine and put out a fresh 
> bounty of (smaller?) leaves and returned to it's course of producing flowers 
> to be pollinated by (also the sphynx?) and then a seedpod to lead to this 
> year's surprise sprouts?!

>> Hi, Merle,

>> 

>> Are you sure it’s not 19 years? The standard “take” on insect eruptions is 
>> (used to be?) that they occur on a cycle of prime numbers to make it harder 
>> for creatures with shorter cycles to “track” them. See 
>> https://www.newyorker.com/tech/annals-of-technology/the-cicadas-love-affair-with-prime-numbers
>>  for a pretty thin introduction to the idea.

>> 

>> N

>> 

>> Nicholas Thompson

>> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

>> Clark University

>> [email protected]

>> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

>> 

>> 


>> *From:* Friam <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Merle Lefkoff
>> *Sent:* Monday, May 18, 2020 10:01 PM
>> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
>> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Miller, miller moths everywhere...

>> 

>> My son in Boulder says they get the "infestation" right on the dot every 20 
>> years.

>> 

>> They are also important pollinators. 

>> 

>> On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 9:57 PM Jon Zingale <[email protected]> wrote:

>>> Wow, they are everywhere! According to wikipedia:

>>> 

>>> Army cutworms are one of the richest foods for predators, such as brown 
>>> bears <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown_bear>, in this ecosystem, where 
>>> up to 72 per cent of the moth's body weight is fat, thus making it more 
>>> calorie-rich than elk or deer.[10] 
>>> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Army_cutworm#cite_note-10> This is the 
>>> highest known body fat percentage of any animal.[11] 
>>> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Army_cutworm#cite_note-11> 

>>> 

>>> And according to the New Mexican:

>>> 

>>> `... they do not carry disease, Formby said, and they’re not the type of 
>>> moth that will get into your clothes closet and start shredding your new 
>>> camel hair jacket.`

>>> 

>>> 


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>> 

>> 

>> --


>> Merle Lefkoff, Ph.D.
>> President, Center for Emergent Diplomacy
>> emergentdiplomacy.org

>> Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA


>> [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
>> mobile: (303) 859-5609
>> skype: merle.lelfkoff2

>> twitter: @Merle_Lefkoff


>> 

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