Yes, good point. I would say the personality determines the spectrum of 
predictability. A narcissistic person will lash out immediately if it is 
criticized. An altruistic person like the Dalai Lama will smile or say someone 
kind if it is criticized. The stronger the personality, the higher the 
predictability.As a person I also have the free will to become the person I 
aspire to be. If I want to be an artist, I can draw all day or visit an art 
school and one day I will be an artist. If I then walk around and see a 
beautiful landscape as an artist, I will probably want to paint it. My 
personality as a creative painter determines my decisions. Free will >> 
Personality >> Probable Action-J.
-------- Original message --------From: doug carmichael 
<d...@dougcarmichael.com> Date: 6/28/20  17:34  (GMT+01:00) To: The Friday 
Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com> Subject: Re: 
[FRIAM] Hard problem vs. free will On free will. Isn’t there a spectrum of 
predictability? She will get up in the morning and have coffee, but I am less 
sure about her reaction to the front page of today’s New York Times. That 
spectrum of predictability (people will stay on the socially sanctioned side of 
the road when driving) is enough for society to hold together. (and we may be 
losing it)I like Bergson’s view. A simple one cell organism responds to things 
in its environment, like light or ph and its reaction  predictable. As the 
organism gets more complex, the range of things it can respond to in the 
environment such as  shapes and tastes - and the range of responses,  increases 
- until the point where predictability is impossible. This is free will. Seems 
reasonable to me.On Jun 28, 2020, at 7:39 AM, Jochen Fromm <j...@cas-group.net> 
wrote:The two questions are related. We cannot predict how someone else will 
act and we don't know what it is like to be someone else because we don't know 
the history of the other person. To use Nick's words we don't know the personal 
slice of the world for this person, how it has experienced the world so far.If 
we could predict how someone else will act there would be no free will. If we 
could experience what it is like to be someone else directly there would be no 
hard problem of consciousness. I think intimate knowledge of someone allows you 
to predict how the person will act to a certain degree. You could say two minds 
have merged into one. The two persons still have free will, but they are 
"similar wills" so to speak.In the same way intimate knowledge of the history 
of person allows you to experience the world as the person does, for example by 
seeing a movie about the life of a person. Watching this movie you experience 
the same events that the person has experienced.In this sense being married for 
25 or more years is like watching the same movie, the movie of your life 
:-)-J.-------- Original message --------From: Jochen Fromm <j...@cas-group.net> 
Date: 6/28/20  16:07  (GMT+01:00) To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity 
Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God I am not sure I agree 
with the arguments from you Russ. You say "People aren't the same, but they are 
similar - and human society functions because we can predict to some extent 
what other people are likely to do [...]. We have also evolved the ability to 
'put ourselves in somebody else's skin', taking into account the obvious 
external differences."But we cannot predict what someone else will do, only if 
we know the person really well - for instance if it is your wife or husband for 
30 years. In whodunit films it becomes clear in the end why people have acted 
they way they did, but only in hindsight. In hindsight we almost always can say 
why people acted the way they did, but we cannot predict it beforehand. You say 
hindsight is 20/20 for this in English, right?We also haven't evolved the 
ability to "put ourselves in somebody else's skin". It is not impossible, but 
can be very difficult and requires detailed knowledge and imagination. This is 
the reason why Hollywood has invented cinemas to show us how what it is like to 
be somebody else (the GoPro cameras in modern days have the same 
function).Therefore I tend to disagree with both statements. -J.-------- 
Original message --------From: Frank Wimberly <wimber...@gmail.com> Date: 
6/28/20  15:07  (GMT+01:00) To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee 
Group <friam@redfish.com> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God Russ,Your views on these 
matters are very similar to my own.Frank---Frank C. Wimberly140 Calle Ojo 
Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505505 670-9918Santa Fe, NMOn Sun, Jun 28, 2020, 2:11 AM 
Russell Standish <li...@hpcoders.com.au> wrote:Hi Nick - finally took a look at 
your paper. I didn't read it to the nth detail, but from what I understand, 
your scepticism about "ejective anthropmorphism" (nice term by the way) stands 
on two legs:

1) What exactly is priveleged about introspection?

2) That the process of ejective anthropomorphism starts from an
identity between the target behaviour and the observers behaviour,
which is structy false. The example being given of a dog scratching at
a door to get in.

In response, I would say there is plenty of privelege in
introspection. For example, proprioception is entirely priveleged -
that information is simply now available to external observers.

In terms of the identity of target and observer behaviour, it doesn't
need to be identical, but it does need to be analogical. The most
important application of this skill is prediction of what other human
beings do. People aren't the same, but they are similar - and human
society functions because we can predict to some extent what other
people are likely to do. I believe this is why self-awareness evoved
in the first place. Something similar may have evolved in dogs, which
are social pack animals. We have also evolved the ability to "put
ourselves in somebody else's skin", taking into account the obvious
external differences. So we can imagine being a dog, and wanting to
get through a door, what would we do. We know we cannot stand up, and
turn the door knob, because we don't have hands, so what would we do,
given we only have paws. Scratching behaviour does seem a likely
behaviour then. That, then is analogical.

So, I'm not exactly convinced :).

Cheers

On Sun, May 24, 2020 at 04:32:05PM -0600, thompnicks...@gmail.com wrote:
> Sorry Russ.  It was in a hyperlink: 
> 
> https://www.researchgate.net/publication/311349078_The_many_perils_of_ejecti
> ve_anthropomorphism
> 
> Nicholas Thompson
> Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
> Clark University
> thompnicks...@gmail.com
> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
>  
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of Russell Standish
> Sent: Sunday, May 24, 2020 4:27 PM
> To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' <friam@redfish.com>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God
> 
> On Sat, May 23, 2020 at 09:59:37PM -0600, thompnicks...@gmail.com wrote:
> > Hi Russ,
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Hawking my wares again.  I am sorry but SOMEBODY has to read this 
> > crap.  The argument of this paper is that the flow of inference is 
> > actually in the other direction.  We model our view of ourselves on our
> experience with others.
> > 
> 
> What paper? What argument?
> 
> 
> -- 
> 
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Dr Russell Standish                    Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> Principal, High Performance Coders     hpco...@hpcoders.com.au
>                       http://www.hpcoders.com.au
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Principal, High Performance Coders     hpco...@hpcoders.com.au
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