But we didn’t get the senate, right?

 

Nicholas Thompson

Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology

Clark University

 <mailto:thompnicks...@gmail.com> thompnicks...@gmail.com

 <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> 
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/

 

 

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of Frank Wimberly
Sent: Wednesday, November 4, 2020 12:12 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve

 

Nick,

 

See Glen's 270 to 267 estimate.  Biden may still win either Georgia or 
Pennsylvania or both because of the Democrat majority that is likely among the 
uncounted votes.  If any of that happens Biden wins with a margin.  

 

But it's too close for relaxation.

 

Frank

---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz, 
Santa Fe, NM 87505

505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM

 

On Wed, Nov 4, 2020, 11:05 AM <thompnicks...@gmail.com 
<mailto:thompnicks...@gmail.com> > wrote:

Gary, 

If you want to live in the bubble for a few more hours, try 

https://abc.com/watch-live/abc-news

Marcus,  The message I am getting from those folks is something like: "We tried 
rationality for 50 years and look where it got us;  let's try crazy for 4 more 
years."

I know two trump supporters quite well.  Mind you, we don't talk politics that 
much.  Both are owners of small businesses who have led the highly regulated 
lives that folks must lead if they are going to make money in a politically 
diverse community.  Both [thought they] saw gains from the Tax Cuts.  I think 
both think the economic policies have been good for them and they find the 
crazy stuff kinda fun.  Like a bit of a wild fling.  They certainly don't take 
those things any more seriously than I took Clinton, with whatsername under the 
Resolute Desk, while he was negotiating with the Majority Leader.  Tsk Tsk, I 
say and them move on.  That's what they do, and they cannot under stand why I 
am scared by Trump, any more than I could understand why they were scared by 
Obama.  I once called one of my relatives in Texas during the bush/Kerry 
election, because she had been born in Massachusetts and I thought she could 
help me understand. "I think that man is dangerous," she said.  I agreed, 
thinking she was talking about Bush.  "Yes," she went on.  "No telling what he 
will do if he and the democrats get in."  

Kerry, DANGEROUS?  My god that man was scared of getting tomato sauce on his 
polo shirt.  But she really was quaking with fear..  Just like I am now. 

The one I really am scared of is McConnell.  Hitler got in because the cartels 
that dominated German politics thought they could "use" him. Look how that 
turned out. 

Nick 

Nick

Nicholas Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
Clark University
thompnicks...@gmail.com <mailto:thompnicks...@gmail.com> 
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/



-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com <mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com> > On 
Behalf Of Marcus Daniels
Sent: Wednesday, November 4, 2020 11:24 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com 
<mailto:friam@redfish.com> >
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve

Yeah, the main take home to me is the same as before:  Almost half the country 
is batshit crazy.

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com <mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com> > On 
Behalf Of u?l? ???
Sent: Wednesday, November 4, 2020 9:22 AM
To: friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com> 
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] election eve

Right. So both the guardian and nyt show called Biden: 227, Trump: 213 with 
PA(20), NC(15), and GA(16) toward Trump and MI(16), WI(10), NV(6), and AZ(11) 
toward Biden.

227+16+10+11+6 = 270
213+3+15+20+16 = 267

I don't think there's a reason to be optimistic ... cautiously or not. 
Regardless of which value the artificially binary outcome lands on, it's the 
closeness of it that causes the problems.

On 11/4/20 9:08 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Biden has got a 270 vs. 267 last time I checked, assuming he can’t take 
> Pennsylvania.

--
↙↙↙ uǝlƃ

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