I think the subjects were thinking about which statement conveys more information rather than which is more probable.
Dumb subjects. They should have taken more math. --- Frank C. Wimberly 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, Santa Fe, NM 87505 505 670-9918 Santa Fe, NM On Wed, Mar 30, 2022, 4:39 PM Nicholas Thompson <thompnicks...@gmail.com> wrote: > > I am still without a computer, but will try to dictate more precisely, > because I am going stir crazy not being able to communicate with friam. > There is a huge literature in philosophy and cognitive science in which > scientists ask people to make inferences and then fall over themselves > laughing when their subjects make inferences that are not correct according > to formal logic. Most of the examples that are familiar to me involved > abduction which formal logicians seem to regard as a fallacy but which > Peirce regards as a formally correct form of logic that is both > probabilistic and weak. Here is an example from sobers book, Ockhams razors > > Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken and very bright. She majored in > philosophy. As a student she was deeply concerned with issues of > discrimination and social justice, and also participated in anti-nuclear > demonstrations. Philosophers asked subjects which of the following > statements is more probable: One Linda is a bank teller. Two jLinda is a > bank teller and is active in the feminist movement. When subjects answer > the latter, the philosophers fall all over themselves laughing because a > conjunction can never be larger than its conjuncts. > > Analytical philosophy aside, what do we suppose is going on here.? I think > the subjects have already abducted That the probability that Linda is a > bank teller is vanishingly small, And so have rejected the Premises of the > problem. Any wiser thoughts? > > Best my slurred speech and fat thumbs could do! Thanks for your patience. > Nick. > > > Sent from my Dumb Phone > > .-- .- -. - / .- -.-. - .. --- -. ..--.. / -.-. --- -. .--- ..- --. .- - . > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn UTC-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > un/subscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > archives: > 5/2017 thru present https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/ > 1/2003 thru 6/2021 http://friam.383.s1.nabble.com/ >
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