Date: Wed, 10 Mar 1999 13:36:32 -0500
From: Robert Weissman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: Multiple recipients of list STOP-IMF <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Chic Tribune on debt

>>The Chicago Tribune
>>
>>POOREST NATIONS MIRED IN BIG DEBT
>>
>>By Merrill Goozner
>>Washington Bureau
>>March 10, 1999
>>
>>                   WASHINGTON -- The devastation wrought
>>                   by Hurricane Mitch in Central America is
>>                   giving new impetus to a movement to help
>>                   the world's poorest countries by granting
>>                   them large-scale debt relief.
>>
>>                   Advocates contend that debt forgiveness
>>                   wouldn't be that costly for the industrial
>>                   countries owed most of the money but would
>>                   enable fledgling democracies to redirect their
>>                   sparse budgets to socially and economically
>>                   productive uses.
>>
>>                   A coalition of not-for-profit organizations and
>>                   church groups has organized a worldwide
>>                   movement called Jubilee 2000 to press for
>>                   debt relief, not just in Central America but
>>                   also in sub-Saharan Africa and other parts of
>>                   the world still burdened with high interest
>>                   payments on old loans.
>>
>>                   Debt relief would reduce or eliminate their
>>                   large interest payments to the World Bank,
>>                   the International Monetary Fund and the
>>                   industrialized countries that had extended
>>                   development loans over the past
>>                   quarter-century. Most of the money went for
>>                   failed development projects, and some of it
>>                   was siphoned off by corrupt regimes, few of
>>                   which are still in power.
>>
>>                   The movement has been endorsed by Pope
>>                   John Paul II and retired Archbishop
>>                   Desmond Tutu of South Africa. Rep. Jesse
>>                   Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) has introduced a bill with
>>                   44 co-sponsors that would cancel the U.S.
>>                   portion of the $230 billion owed by the 31
>>                   African countries that are ranked among the
>>                   poorest in the world, with per-capita incomes
>>                   under $500 a year.
>>
>>                   Lending governments have balked at blanket
>>                   debt relief, preferring an IMF-World Bank
>>                   program that links debt reduction to changed
>>                   economic policies in what they call Highly
>>                   Indebted Poor Countries, or HIPCs. Donors,
>>                   led by the U.S., Japan and Germany and
>>                   organized in what is called the Paris Club,
>>                   have offered to stretch out their portion of
>>                   debt repayments in exchange for meeting
>>                   these so-called structural adjustment policies.
>>
>>                   These adjustment policies are similar to
>>                   conditions set by the IMF in countries
>>                   receiving bailouts in recent years. The global
>>                   lender of last resort requires balanced or
>>                   near-balanced budgets, monetary controls to
>>                   avoid inflation, and dismantling
>>                   government-owned monopolies and policies
>>                   that protect domestic industries.
>>
>>                   The IMF-World Bank program also requires
>>                   the countries to stick to the adjustment
>>                   policies for as long as six years before
>>                   getting debt relief. The program seeks to
>>                   bring payments below 20 percent of export
>>                   earnings. The IMF says 41 countries qualify
>>                   for its program because their total debt is at
>>                   least twice their annual export earnings. So
>>                   far, only two, Uganda and Bolivia, have used
>>                   the program. Another five are in the process
>>                   of being qualified.
>>
>>                   An IMF program brochure confidently states
>>                   that "the initiative should eliminate debt as an
>>                   impediment to economic development and
>>                   growth and enable HIPC governments to
>>                   concentrate on the difficult policies and
>>                   reforms for achieving sustainable
>>                   development."
>>
>>                   Jubilee 2000 officials scoff at such
>>                   suggestions. They say there are 52 countries
>>                   around the world owing a combined $370
>>                   billion that desperately need immediate debt
>>                   relief.
>>
>>                   "It's an Orwellian use of the word
>>                   `sustainable,' " said David Bryden,
>>                   coordinator for the Jubilee 2000 campaign in
>>                   the U.S. "The Philippines (whose debt
>>                   burden is not high enough to qualify for the
>>                   program) is paying three times more in debt
>>                   service than it is on health spending. Children
>>                   going uneducated or unvaccinated is not
>>                   sustainable."
>>
>>                   At the heart of the debate is a philosophical
>>                   divide over the best way to stimulate
>>                   development in regions that have largely
>>                   been bypassed by the economic events of
>>                   the last two decades. Finance officials of the
>>                   developed world, which controls the IMF and
>>                   World Bank, believe that economic policies
>>                   enforced through stretched-out but still
>>                   rigorous debt-repayment schedules will
>>                   create an investment climate in these
>>                   countries that can attract foreign capital.
>>
>>                   "There's always the problem with blanket
>>                   debt relief that it could lead to a new round
>>                   of errors," said Nancy Birdsall, who is at the
>>                   Carnegie Endowment for International
>>                   Peace after serving as a vice president at the
>>                   Inter-American Development Bank, a major
>>                   lender in Latin America. "It's easy to get
>>                   back on a train that takes you nowhere."
>>
>>                   But the not-for-profit groups from the
>>                   poorest countries, which generally depend on
>>                   one or two major crops or commodities for
>>                   export earnings, argue that they have been
>>                   on a train to nowhere for quite some time.
>>                   Per-capita income in most of sub-Saharan
>>                   Africa and Central America dropped sharply
>>                   over the last two decades. The recent
>>                   currency crises in such countries as
>>                   Indonesia and Thailand have raised new
>>                   questions about the proper development path.
>>
>>                   They point out that even reduced payments
>>                   leave them on a debt treadmill, especially as
>>                   prices for their exports have been steadily
>>                   falling in recent years.
>>
>>                   "We have seen from the ground level the
>>                   consequences of following IMF policy
>>                   prescriptions," said Jean Bakole, who
>>                   recently lobbied Congress to support
>>                   Jackson's debt-relief bill on behalf of a
>>                   coalition of 34 African non-profit groups.
>>                   "These policies tend to undermine local
>>                   businesses, drive up unemployment, damage
>>                   the environment, harm consumers,
>>                   undermine public health and increase
>>                   poverty."

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