---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Fri, 17 Apr 1998 13:05:57 +0100 (BST)
From: Michael Saunby <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Teleworking, is it a rip off? Agencies etc.

Alan Husselbee wrote
> Should we now restate that clients decide what their requirement is,
> whether, time and materiels based, permanent recruitment or fixed price.
> This is true for all areas of sub-contract work where there is an extremely
> high percentage of intellectual ressources (or man-days)concerned in the
> service/product offering.
> 

If your copy of Computer Weekly hasn't reached you yet you might be
interested in the following, 
( see http://www.computerweekly.co.uk/news/16_04_98/C25.html )

Team spirit is soon to be a distant memory

The tightly knit teams of the traditional IT department will be replaced by a
loose confederation of workers by the year 2002. Gartner Group believes
that, in future, more than 50% of the IT workforce will be contractors or
external workers. Home-grown IT application development will plummet to
just 10%. External service providers will deliver 60% of applications by 2003,
with business units and end-users providing the rest.

The growing skills crisis will mean that systems integrators will be so
powerful, users will no longer refer to themselves as IBM or Digital shops,
or SAP sites. 

Instead, the growth of services companies will see firms such as Andersen
Consulting or KPMG being described as users' principal suppliers. 

By 2003, more and more IT functions are likely to be outsourced, Gartner
claimed. More than 40% of datacentres, 45% of network services, half of
application maintenance and 55% of distributed services are likely to be
provided by outsourcers by 2003, with only IT planning (30%) and IT
management (10%) remaining largely in-house.


--------------

I suspect that another driving force towards this situation will be post 
Y2K reorganisation.  Many employers with large IT depts will want to get
their wages bill back down to something sane and encouraging staff to go
freelance is less of a demotivator than cutting pay, but should achieve
similar savings.  They will also want to trade in staff with legacy skills
needed for Y2K work for those with trendy e-commerce skills, etc.
I'm predicting a sudden surge in teleworking in the second half of 2000, 
that is of course if the telecoms infrastructure doesn't get blown away by 
the millenium bomb!

Michael Saunby 

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