For those FWers who are interested in the global warming controversy, the
following article from today's Washington Post will be of interest. The
article starts off mentioning two scientific satellites which are being
launched at the same time, but I've only retained info about the climatic
satellite in the following excerpt: 

<<<<
NASA SATELLITES' MISSION TO RUN HOT AND COLD
  
William Harwood
 
NASA is launching two modest but scientifically ambitious satellites this
week to answer fundamental questions about the forces shaping Earth's
environment, from the surface of the planet to the depths of interstellar
space.

The Ice, Cloud and Land Elevation Satellite -- ICESat -- is designed to
find out whether the polar ice sheets are expanding or melting, either
scenario a tell-tale sign of environmental change on a vast scale. The
other satellite, the Cosmic Hot Interstellar Plasma Spectrometer, or CHIPS,
will study how the debris from exploding suns cools and ultimately becomes
the raw material for new stars in a galactic recycling program.

Both satellites are scheduled for launch Thursday atop a Boeing Delta 2
rocket from Vandenberg Air Force Base, Calif. Of the two, ICESat is the
star of the show, costing $282 million, including data analysis and the
price of the Delta 2 rocket. 

Once operational in a 373-mile-high orbit around Earth's poles, ICESat will
use a sophisticated device known as a laser altimeter to collect precise
elevation data that will help researchers determine the ice-sheet mass
balance, that is, how much new ice forms every year compared with how much
is lost.

"The ice sheets that cover Greenland and Antarctica today are over two
miles thick in places," said Jay Zwally, ICESat project scientist. "But
very simply, we do not know if they're growing or shrinking.

"Almost every newspaper article we read says that when the climate warms,
we're going to see the melting of the polar ice sheets and the flooding of
coastal areas. The truth is, we really don't know."

ICESat is equipped with an instrument known as the Geoscience Laser
Altimeter System, or GLAS. By precisely timing how long it takes a laser
beam to fire, hit the surface and bounce back to a 31-inch telescope,
scientists can determine the elevation of the ice sheets below to an
accuracy of six inches. Firing 40 times a second, GLAS will collect
readings at approximately one-mile intervals.

Zwally said about three-tenths of an inch of water from the surface of the
ocean ends up in the planet's ice sheets as snowfall. "That's about three
inches every 10 years," he said. "If there was only water going in and
nothing coming out, sea level would drop three inches every 10 years. But
approximately the same amount is coming back out in the form of icebergs
and melting at the edges," he said at a recent news conference. "We don't
know which is greater. The difference is what we call the mass balance."

Many researchers expect the ice sheets to melt more around the edges and to
grow more in the center. Recent measurements in Greenland using
aircraft-borne instruments show the edges are melting more than expected.
But there is little or no data about what might be going on in the central
regions of the ice sheets. "That's what ICESat will do," Zwally said.
"ICESat will provide precise measurements over the whole ice sheets from
season to season and from year to year."

It is a complex problem that until now has been fraught with uncertainty. A
United Nations panel on climate change has predicted that over the next 100
years, the sea level could rise from three to 33 inches. Over time, ICESat
measurements should allow scientists to chart changes in ice-sheet
elevation that are equivalent to a few tenths of a millimeter of sea level
change.

"For the future, we expect increases in melting and increases in snowfall,"
Zwally said. "It's going to be a race between the two of these. We're going
to get more melting at the edges, more snowfall at the center, and just
what the contribution will be is uncertain. It could be either plus or minus."
>>>>

© The Washington Post
Monday, December 16


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