Probably the unhappiest groups today are those companies who haven’t yet inked their Iraq contracts, worried about international competitors. 

 

In the Arab world and elsewhere, there will be someone else who will arise to ‘stand up to America’ as those who expressed regret for his capture said.  Until then, would it not make bin Laden more valuable to those who feel that way? Will Jordan’s King emerge as a deal-maker?

 

Surely, there is some thinking about this as they consider whether Saddam at trial will tarnish our image as a previous ally of his. Surely we are thinking about the future and reducing the number of new enemies. Surely.  – KWC

 

Snagged from CAP (Center for American Progress)

 

REFLEXIVE RESENTMENT TOWARD AMERICA: Reuters reports that while "Saddam may have been seen as a dictator who oppressed his people, many also saw him as the only Arab leader who stood up to the United States." As one member of Jordan's parliament said, "It is bad news. To us, Saddam was a symbol of defiance to the U.S. plans in the region. And we support any person who stands in the face of the American dominance." It is a troubling sentiment that has permeated the Muslim world. As American journalist Andrew Finkel writes from Istanbul, "people now hold the American invasion of Iraq responsible for instigating a contagion of resentment that has spread their way. They see Washington as a bee-stung giant, thrashing about with reckless disregard for the damage it does."

WARNINGS THAT SADDAM CAPTURE WILL NOT BE PANACEA: Administration officials have said for weeks that the capture of Saddam, while important, will not solve the complex situation in Iraq. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said on 5/27/03 "the fact is that Saddam Hussein may or may not be alive [but] he clearly is not running Iraq. So, the fact that he is not locatable at the moment if he is alive is too bad but it certainly isn't determinative" of whether he is controlling the insurgency. Rumsfeld reiterated that position on 60 Minutes last night. When asked whether "the capture of Saddam Hussein now means Mission Accomplished?" he replied, "Well, certainly not." Similarly, the NYT reported last week that Gen. Sanchez "said that even if American forces captured or killed Saddam Hussein, that would not extinguish the resolve of the guerrilla fighters." Part of the reason Saddam's capture might not have as wide an impact as hoped is because not all of the insurgents were aligned with Saddam in the first place. A recent Congressional Research Service report "lists 15 separate groups battling US-led forces in Iraq, from Hussein loyalists to Al Qaeda operatives."

LITTLE CONNECTION BETWEEN SADDAM CAPTURE AND OSAMA HUNT: AP reports, "Afghan officials hailed the capture of Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, saying Sunday the arrest might blunt the growing insurgency here. They also speculated Saddam's capture after seven months on the run could make it easier to catch the world's other top fugitive - al-Qaida mastermind Osama bin Laden." But as Knight-Ridder reports, terrorism experts "say Saddam Hussein's capture is unlikely to prompt U.S. officials to intensify their search for Osama bin Laden in Afghanistan." Specifically, the "CIA and Pentagon are unlikely to return to Afghanistan the scores of U.S. commandos and intelligence agents that had been seeking bin Laden before they were shifted to Iraq." Joseph Cirincione of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace dispels the notion of a connection between Saddam's capture and other challenges: "Saddam's capture may decrease attacks in Iraq by Baathists but it is largely irrelevant to the larger war against terrorism. Saddam means nothing to al-Qaeda and all the al-Qaeda-like forces."

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