http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww?section=root&name=ViewPrint&articleId=11177

Marital Blitz
This November, anti–gay-marriage bills will be back on ballots with a
vengeance. But this time around, the gay and lesbian activist network
is ready to play hardball.
By E. J. Graff
Issue Date: 03.10.06

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Do you remember the fall 2004 gay-bashing festival? In 13 states,
voters agreed to add to their constitutions a phrase like this one:
"Marriage is between one man and one woman." The gay-bashing came
afterward, when Democrats and liberal pundits declared that greedy gay
folks had brought those initiatives on themselves with their foolish
pursuit of marriage equality -- and were therefore responsible for
John Kerry's loss. Political scientists have since debunked the claim
that anti-marriage initiatives brought Kerry down. But here's the bad
news: The anti-marriage initiatives are back.

This fall, Defense of Marriage Acts (DOMAs), which declare that
"marriage is between one man and one woman," and SuperDOMA amendment
initiatives, which also ban "marriage-like" recognition of same-sex
pairs, will be on the ballot in Alabama, South Carolina, South Dakota,
Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and Wisconsin. They're also likely to
qualify for the ballot in Arizona, California, and Colorado. At the
same time, marriage-equality lawsuits are percolating up through the
courts in California, Connecticut, Iowa, Maryland, New Jersey, New
York, and Washington; at least one is likely to win soon, giving
culture warriors an excuse to roar out still more marriage-protection
proposals. Worse yet, once these initiatives pass, family-values folks
will renege on their moderate rhetoric and use them to try to ban any
legal recognition, no matter how small or even symbolic, of same-sex
couples.

Here's the good news. First, 2004's DOMA and SuperDOMA amendments were
misread. They did not represent an anti-gay backlash; in fact, public
opinion toward lesbians and gay men is warming more every day. Second,
the "gay agenda" now has a new plan for winning over the long haul.
For years, lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) legal groups
have been the most successful branches of what's loosely called the
gay movement. As a result, there's been a winning air war -- but too
few ground troops to solidify some of those wins. Now the political
groups are catching up. LGBT organizations have developed a strategic
plan to win marriage equality -- and along the way,
anti-discrimination laws, zero-tolerance for school gay-bashing, and
more.

A 15-year strategy has been agreed to by all the major organizational
players. Funding is in place, and new tactics are being developed and
tested in this year's biggest clashes with anti-gay groups. As a
result, says Rodger McFarlane, executive director of the LGBT-focused
Gill Foundation, "for marriage, there is a strategy, movement
coherence, and funding at scale." Along the way, LGBT groups are
planning to change the political climate in ways that will force
politicians to support gay rights.

And the best news? As part of those tactics, LGBT groups are helping
to build a new progressive coalition from the ground up.


* * *
Understanding that 15-year plan requires understanding the context:
Despite the fact that Americans keep voting for DOMAs, there is no
anti-gay backlash. Rather, each year more Americans think lesbians and
gay men should be treated as full citizens. In 1977, Gallup found that
56 percent of Americans believed you shouldn't be fired just for being
lesbian or gay; by May 2003, that figure was 88 percent. In 1992, 59
percent of Americans thought lesbians and gay men should serve openly
in the military; in 2005, that figure was almost 80 percent.

With this public support, in 2005 -- right after 2004's putative
anti-gay "backlash" -- there was tremendous LGBT progress. Illinois
and Maine passed anti-discrimination laws. California's legislature
voted to gender-neutralize marriage -- a historic first -- despite
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger's veto. Massachusetts' legislators
upheld marriage equality. Connecticut's legislature passed a civil
unions law. Cincinnati, Indianapolis, and Topeka -- hardly liberal
bastions -- passed LGBT antidiscrimination laws; Virginia's governor
and Salt Lake City's mayor extended health-insurance coverage to
government employees' same-sex domestic partners; and Alaska's Supreme
Court unanimously ruled that -- despite the state's DOMA -- local
governments must offer equal benefits to employees' married spouses or
same-sex partners. That's why the religious right is so eager to run
anti-marriage measures. "We were so close to winning completely on
basic nondiscrimination that the discussion had to go to this
completely new level in order to shock and create pause among the
general voters," said Thalia Zepatos, a National Lesbian & Gay Task
Force field organizer in California.

DOMAs are sneaky: They don't mention lesbians and gay men. If
Americans think about same-sex marriage at all, they're torn between
the basic American belief that "fair is fair," and the gut sense that
"marriage has always been this way." DOMAs appeal to the latter idea.
The pro-DOMA campaigners explicitly tell voters that the measure
doesn't insult lesbians and gay men, but merely protects the word
"marriage." After 30 years of running anti-gay ballot initiatives, the
religious right has finally found a winning phraseology. After all,
who's hurt when you tell people who can't get married, that they
really, really can't get married?

DOMAs have been so successful that, like potato chips, no state can
pass just one. Between 1995 and 2003, 40 states put DOMAs on the books
-- before Massachusetts opened marriage, before 13 states in 2004
passed all-but-redundant anti-marriage constitutional amendments.
Consider Virginia, where the legislature passed its first DOMA statute
in 1997, beefed it up to a SuperDOMA in 2004, and now has a SuperDOMA
constitutional amendment on the 2006 ballot.


* * *
The 2004 marriage initiatives and the subsequent Democratic
gay-bashing had a salutary effect on LGBT organizations. "People had a
strategic epiphany that [victory] wasn't going to come in an
avalanche," said Evan Wolfson, founding director of the national group
Freedom to Marry. "We would need a fifteen-year plan, not a two-year
plan. That sunk in in a much more grounded way, with a sober awareness
that it would be much longer and harder."

The 2004 votes woke the community up to the fact that the LGBT legal
superheroes (Lambda Legal Defense and Education Fund; Gay & Lesbian
Advocates & Defenders; National Center for Lesbian Rights; and ACLU's
Gay Rights Project) could not defend their marriage gains. "[W]ith all
the brilliant legal scholars that we have -- and there are many -- for
whatever reason, there's been a blind spot on the political side,"
said Marty Rouse, who as director of MassEquality helped stop the
Massachusetts legislature from putting the Goodridge marriage
decision, which opened marriage to same-sex pairs, up for a popular
vote. At the same time, the LGBT community has been bitterly reminded
that Democratic politicians will join in the anti-gay attacks --
unless LGBT groups make clear that doing so has a serious cost.

It's hard to convey the level of cold concentrated fury left by, say,
Kerry's backstabbing in Massachusetts in 2004 and 2005, when he
supported a state constitutional amendment that would undo the
Goodridge marriages, or by Tennessee Democratic Congressman Harold
Ford's vote in favor of a Federal Marriage Amendment. In one interview
after another, LGBT advocates emphasized that gay money is no longer
flowing to just any Democrat who asks. "We will reward our friends and
punish the wicked," said Rodger McFarlane of the Gill Action Fund.

LGBT forces have decided to bulk up politically. "What can we build
now to win our freedom?" is the question of the moment, said Rouse.
"We can't wait for the Democratic Party. We have to do this for
ourselves." That's possible in part because of money. A generation of
frontline LGBT political activists are now in major funding positions,
as they weren't before. Consider the transformation of the important
Gill Foundation, launched by Colorado software entrepreneur Tim Gill
in 1994 after his state passed an anti-gay constitutional amendment
(later overturned by the Supreme Court). In 2004, Gill hired a new
executive director: the colorful and impatient activist Rodger
McFarlane. Under McFarlane's leadership at the Gill Action Fund, the
foundation's 501(c)(4) sibling, Gill has been funding in-depth
research on opinions and voting behavior. McFarlane has also begun
convening all the major LGBT organizational players in hopes of coming
up with long-term plans on marriage equality, federal legislation, and
faith-based organizing -- which he will then help fund.

Elsewhere, LGBT political activists Urvashi Vaid and Tim Sweeney have
stepped into key funding positions at family foundations committed to
LGBT issues. These players are rounding up still other funders --
progressive allies like Gara LaMarche at the Open Society Institute
and wealthy individual lesbians and gay men -- to fill out the war
chest. At the Arcus Foundation, Vaid just gave $3 million -- a record
donation for LGBT rights -- to the Task Force's movement-building,
training, and organizing efforts. Others are funding the Equality
Federation, a brand-new coalition of LGBT state groups that helps
local activists meet and swap experiences, tactics, insights, and
resources. All politics are local, especially LGBT-related politics.
So, therefore, are the approaches to winning marriage equality. The
strategy -- which has been developed and agreed to by people involved
in every major LGBT organization -- is what Wolfson is calling the
"2020 Vision," as outlined at the Task Force's Creating Change
conference last fall. By the year 2020 (give or take five years), the
goal is for 10 states to have full-marriage equality; 10 states to
have civil unions or the equivalent; 10 states to have
nondiscrimination laws and be repealing (or peeling back the effects
of) their anti-gay marriage amendments; and the final 20 states to
show progress.

An informed look at the national map shows that all these goals are
achievable. Five state courts -- in Washington, New Jersey,
California, New York, and Connecticut, probably in that order -- could
easily rule in favor of marriage equality in one to five years.
(Washington's decision, expected for months, could come any moment.)
All the New England states could move to marriage equality -- some by
legislature, some by judiciary. That optimism is solidly founded: No
New England state has passed a DOMA constitutional amendment; public
opinion favors LGBT equality; the region shares Boston's media market
and has seen that married same-sex couples haven't hurt Massachusetts;
each state has a relatively well-organized LGBT presence; and each
state's constitution is hard to amend.

New Jersey, a DOMA-free state, is also likely to get marriage equality
sooner rather than later. Opinion polls consistently show 55 percent
of the state's voters favor full marriage equality. The legislature
has passed and then beefed up a domestic-partnership law, and a
marriage lawsuit is moving steadily through the state's friendly
courts. Oregon's savvy and muscular LGBT group will almost certainly
win civil unions, and by 2020 could even repeal its anti-marriage
amendment -- and go the distance.

In the bottom 20 states -- predictably the South and the northwestern
plains states -- the goals are more modest. "Can every state support
marriage?" Rouse says. "Absolutely not. Can they pass
nondiscrimination bills? I think that's possible. Alabama is the only
state in the country where not one gay person has a right. Why not
fight for a nondiscrimination law in Birmingham? Even if we don't win
but put up a good fight, that sends a message." This kind of effort
takes political muscle with local city councils and in state
legislatures, precisely the kind of muscle that LGBT organizations are
now building.


* * *
As in most progressive movements these days, LGBT organizations are
moving staff and funding toward the states. There, the top priorities
between now and November are holding the high-profile gains in
Massachusetts and California, where a DOMA and a SuperDOMA may be
headed toward ballot boxes, respectively. The key tactics in both
states are: build progressive coalitions, invest in faith-based
organizing, talk to voters one on one, and play hardball politics.

California offers an outstanding political model. In 2000, its voters
passed a simple DOMA. The state's LGBT forces came up with an
incremental strategic response: Year after year, the Democratic
legislature added responsibilities and recognitions to its
domestic-partnership registry. By January 1, 2004, California's
domestic partnerships became the equivalent of Vermont's civil unions
-- albeit for a citizenry of 34 million rather than 621,000, making it
the most important same-sex partnership law in the nation. Since
California courts have found that this registry does not violate the
DOMA, two feuding religious-right coalitions are now circulating
petitions trying to get enough signatures to ask voters to amend the
state constitution by restricting marriage to different-sex pairs and
by dumping the domestic-partnership registry.

To date, no DOMA has been defeated in an open popular vote. On the
other hand, the California electorate strongly supports the state's
domestic-partnership registry -- by 72 percent in one poll. So LGBT
advocates in California have been working on the "Equality for All
Campaign" since fall 2005. The key component: building progressive
coalitions. Last year, LGBT organizers and volunteers helped
progressive allies defeat Schwarzenegger's initiative slate,
especially the "parental notification" bill, which would have required
teenage girls to tell their parents before getting an abortion. In
return, those groups are already training their organizers and
educating their members to fight the threatened SuperDOMA.

Women's groups and unions have been behind gay rights for quite
awhile, although organizing for each other on the ground is a
breakthrough step. But the coalition also includes groups representing
people of color, which have been slower to embrace LGBT rights. For
instance, California's is the first national NAACP chapter to endorse
marriage equality; the NAACP has been using its lobbying power for
marriage in the legislature, and will deploy ground troops in the
campaign. The same goes for the United Farm Workers (UFW): Dolores
Huerta, one of UFW's founders, is a vocal ally, and is credited with
winning over Democratic assemblymember Simón Salinas on the marriage
equality bill; and the ufw has donated staff member Christine Chavez,
granddaughter of César, to organize Latino and labor communities for
marriage equality. Similar work is being done with Asian American and
Pacific Islander groups.

Progressive and moderate religious groups are stepping up to help
defeat California's SuperDOMA. Hundreds of congregations have been
celebrating their members' same-sex bonds, and are now helping defend
those families via an umbrella group called California Faith for
Equality. In Massachusetts, the Religious Coalition for the Freedom to
Marry has been an essential partner in hanging on to the Goodridge
decision. Ministers and rabbis in the Bay State have testified to
their legislators, encouraged their congregants to write letters,
persuaded fellow religious leaders to back (or not oppose) marriage
equality, and told the media that their God thought marriage equality
was morally urgent. Faith-based organizing worked so well in
Massachusetts -- and is critical for LGBT success, since lesbians and
gay men are regularly called sinful and immoral -- that it's high on
the organizing checklist nationally and for every other state.

In California, activists have another strategic goal: two million
conversations with individual Americans about why gay and lesbian
couples need and deserve access to the sacred M-word. LGBT groups are
helping train their coalition partners to talk to family, friends,
neighbors, and colleagues. After measuring tactics in a wide variety
of communities, from Anchorage to Houston to Atlanta, talking to
likely voters one-on-one is "the only thing I know so far that works,"
said Dave Fleischer, Task Force political director.

The word "marriage" is an essential part of the message. That's new.
In previous years, many state groups have run their anti-DOMA
campaigns by avoiding "marriage." Based on polling, state groups put
out variations of the messages "Don't discriminate" and "Don't amend
our sacred constitution." Research showed that no one bought it. "We
need to be up front and talk about marriage," said Christopher Ott,
executive director of Action Wisconsin. "We need to make them feel
that if they pull the wrong lever they are going to be hurting their
friends and neighbors." Organizers stress that even if voters disagree
on marriage equality, the SuperDOMAs would do much more, barring
families from any other legal recognition.

But the biggest lesson of 2004 and 2005 may be this: Play hardball
politics. Every LGBT organizer now agrees that Massachusetts is the
model to follow -- because LGBT forces actually won. In November 2003,
in Goodridge v. Massachusetts Department of Public Health, the
Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court handed down a decision that
opened marriage to same-sex pairs. In March 2004, the Massachusetts
legislature proposed a DOMA constitutional amendment that would
overrule the court if it passed the legislature twice and then was
approved by voters. In the first vote, the overwhelmingly Democratic
Massachusetts legislature passed the DOMA 105-92. The political group
MassEquality went all out to reelect friends and defeat enemies, the
vast majority of whom were Democrats. "We spent more money on direct
mail than the state Democratic Party spent in 2004 Massachusetts
elections," said Rouse. It also conducted polls, sent money and
volunteers into the political campaigns that most needed help, and sat
down with other progressive groups to talk about endorsements.
MassEquality reelected its friends handily, even in contested races.
And it replaced an opponent -- Democrat Vincent Ciampi, a longtime
legislator whose seat was considered safe -- with an openly gay man.

The legislature got the message. On the next round it defeated the
DOMA, 157-39. A new citizen-initiated DOMA is threatened for the 2008
popular ballot. As LGBT groups are taking aim, Massachusetts'
legislators are far more helpful than they were before.

LGBT groups are taking the Massachusetts show on the road. A year ago
the Human Rights Campaign (HRC), the best-funded LGBT organization,
hired as its new president Joe Solmonese, who had spent 12 years at
EMILY's List (two-and-a-half years as CEO) building coalitions and
electing candidates, and who brought his politically savvy rolodex
with him. Within six months, Solmonese had hired ministerial activist
Harry Knox to help organize faith communities and Rouse as HRC's
national field director to help state groups create their own
organizing plans. (All this has surprised observers, since the group
has long been criticized for its singular inside-the-beltway focus,
and since HRC's commitment to marriage equality has often been
considered suspect.) The Stonewall Democrats, who also replaced LGBT
opponents with supporters in Cleveland Heights, Ohio, have been
holding "Santorum retirement parties," fund-raisers to take down the
Pennsylvania senator who compared homosexuality to "man on child, man
on dog" sex. They're preparing the usual panoply of campaign tactics
-- list enhancement, voter ID, get-out-the-vote methods -- in key
Pennsylvania districts to tip the balance for Democratic candidate Bob
Casey. According to Eric Stern, the group's executive director,
similar local efforts are underway to help gay-friendly Democrats win
in such states as Arizona, Maine, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Progressives and Democrats must come to grips with the fact that "gay
marriage" is not going away. "The right wing is driving this,"
explained the Task Force's Fleischer. "We don't have the ability to
pull it off the table, even if it were the wisest thing in the world."
In the U.S. Congress, Republicans may reintroduce a Federal Marriage
Amendment at any time, dragging LGBT resources away from the states
and back to DC. In the unfriendly states, most of this fall's DOMAs
will pass, as will most of those proposed for 2008. At the same time,
in the friendly states, LGBT groups will keep winning their other
battles (including marriage rights) via both legislatures and courts.
Even in unfriendly states, newly hatched statewide LGBT groups are now
working to expose and repeal the SuperDOMAs' more extreme effects, and
to move forward on more popular measures like antidiscrimination.

At a minimum, advocates will begin to demand that nongay progressives
and Democratic politicians refrain from the kinds of attacks they made
in 2004 and to talk about progressive family values in ways that
advance, rather than hobble, LGBT rights. After all, except for a few
hard-right believers, most nongay voters rank same-sex marriage at the
very bottom of their list of political concerns. There's no point in
pandering to the other side's base and suppressing your own. So repeat
after me: "I believe in fair and equal treatment for all American
families. Now, why do you think my opponent wants to change the
subject from … [pick one: Medicaid prescription disaster, Katrina
aftermath, Iraq war, DC corruption, et cetera]?" Now you're back on
track.

=======================================================
E.J. Graff, resident scholar at the Brandeis Women's Studies Research
Center, most recently collaborated on Evelyn Murphy's book Getting
Even: Why Women Still Don't Get Paid Like Men -- And What to Do About
It.




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