Before they spend $112 million on a full scale design at around $1/square ft 
installed and all other systems included, I would recommend a scaled down (at 
least in the cover material) design using 4-mil black plastic.  This material 
would last for around 1-2 years under desert conditions, long enough to 
determine if the technology actually works.  The plastic can be purchased for 
around $0.03/SF, making the test cover cost around $3 million.  Perhaps an idea 
for Discovery Channel-Dubai to pursue?  After all, these are the people (Dubai 
that is) with an indoor ski slope in the middle of the desert.  An opportunity 
for Arab-Israeli cooperation as the areas along the Persian Gulf would meet the 
Geshem criteria for rainmaking.  One issue not addressed is that of potential 
global warming impacts if such systems were widely deployed and on a large 
enough scale.  After all, the goal is to trap more heat in the atmosphere and 
even with all the rain that it would supposedly produce, the overall climate 
would get warmer as a result.
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Alvia Gaskill 
  To: [email protected] 
  Sent: Tuesday, September 30, 2008 12:42 PM
  Subject: [geo] Make Rain by Creating Heat Islands


  Information provided by Group member Renaud de Richter.  This seems almost 
like the opposite of the desert cover project to increase solar reflectivity.  
Here, the goal is to increase solar absorption and upwelling IR.  The price tag 
of 80 million Euros ($112 million USD*) for around a 10 Km2 area is pretty 
sizable, though as would be the cleaning bill.  The concept has also never been 
tested.  The company listed in the presentation 
http://www.acktar.com/category/Home  is a leader in black coatings, but not for 
applications on a macro scale.

  *Assumes US currency still accepted globally.

  
http://www.export.gov.il/Eng/_Articles/Article.asp?ArticleID=4074&CategoryID=354

        Scientists from Belgium, Israel, and the US, plan to produce rain in 
sub-tropical areas 
        22/08/06 


  An international team comprising scientists from Belgium, Israel, and the US, 
is gearing up to perform one of the greatest and most elusive tricks in nature 
– causing the heavens to bring rain.

   

  With the potential to alleviate the hunger problem in the world, the “Geshem 
Project” (Geshem is the Hebrew word for rain) hopes to turn myth into reality. 
The team plans to produce rain in sub-tropical areas during the cloudless 
summer months by altering air currents using a unique thermal material 
developed in Israel.

  Led by Professor Leon Brenig of the University of Brussels’ Department of 
Physics, Project Geshem partners are researchers from Israel’s Ben Gurion 
University of the Negev, teamed with computer analysts at UCLA in California 
and space imagery experts from NASA. 

  The technique involves spreading a large black solar-absorbing surface over 
several square kilometres of land to generate intense and asymmetrical thermal 
emissions. Energy from sunlight is absorbed by the material and then radiated 
back into the air to heat the lower atmosphere with minimal loss into the 
ground. The heated air rises, taking water condensation high enough to form 
clouds and produce out-of-season rain.

  “It will make a huge difference,” Brenig says in an interview with non-profit 
news service Israel 21C. “In a region where there is 150 millimetres of rain a 
year, using our unique technology could increase the precipitation up to 
600-700mm a year,” the Belgian scientist says. 

  Eli Tzaadi, a researcher on the project and ecologist from Ben Gurion 
University involved in the Negev Open Space Agriculture Research Organisation, 
explains that the technique could increase crops for a given area by 40 per 
cent. “It all depends on the amount of moisture in the air,” he adds.

  The hot equatorial sun heats the air in the low atmosphere causing it to rise 
and flow away from the equator towards the north and south. The air thermals 
carry water condensation up until it forms clouds that produce rain and humid 
equatorial climates. 

  However, as the air currents reach the sub-tropical regions they cool and 
descend preventing local water condensation from rising high enough to form 
clouds. The effect deprives sub-tropical areas of rain during the warm months 
of spring and summer.

  “The objective is to locally prevent that descent,” Brenig said, estimating 
that air above the black surface could be raised by 40-50°C above the 
surrounding temperature, thus creating a ‘chimney’ of rising air currents. The 
artificial thermal will boost water vapour to around 3,000 metres where it can 
condense into water droplets that create clouds. The problem facing the 
researchers was finding the right material: since materials with the required 
asymmetrical thermal properties are hard to find. 

  The search team contacted Acktar, an Israeli company that specialises in 
making custom materials with unique surface-coating properties. The material is 
so light that the company will be able to wrap several kilometres of material 
onto rolls for easy deployment and relocation. The material will be laid down 
on panels in long modules allowing maintenance crews to service the panels from 
vehicles driving between the rows.

  By covering an area of five to nine square kilometres with the black 
material, researchers estimate a rainfall phenomenon on an area of 40-100 
square kilometres downwind. From 12-5pm, clouds will form along a strip – as 
wide as the black surface and up to 30km long. The cost of setting up a 
full-size black surface would run at more than €80 million, roughly comparable 
to establishing a desalination plant. 

  However, the operational costs are minimal and the technology is simple to 
operate: whereas desalination requires a safe method of disposing of the saline 
by-products and uses much energy to drive the process, the Geshem method is 
environment-friendly and powered by the sun. “And solar energy is free,” Brenig 
says, adding that the method can be applied to any dry region located in 
sub-tropical latitudes within 150km of an ocean, sea, or large lake.

  The idea of using a large solar-heated surface to make clouds has been around 
since the 1960s. However, at that time the only suitable black-surface material 
was asphalt and the computing power required to test the theory was still 
decades away. The project was put on hold until 2003 when Brenig contacted the 
Jacob Blaustein Institute of Desert Research at Ben Gurion University. 

  Brenig, pictured, says he chose Israel because of its arid regions and Ben 
Gurion University’s worldwide reputation for desert research. Equipped with 
space images from NASA, Brenig turned to the number-crunching super-computer at 
UCLA to run model simulations in order to determine the optimal size and shape 
of the black surface.




  

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