Hi all

Correlation may be an interesting pointer but does not prove causation 
or even the direction of causation. If nitrogen-rich trees need more 
water maybe we should ask if the water that is doing something we do not 
understand.  Given that trees are at present bathed in 80% nitrogen and 
have surfaces which are highly permeable, how can we change the 
equilibrium they prefer?  Why not just plant species that already have a 
high albedo especially if they also have other good uses?

Talking of correlation, it may be a rude question but can anyone explain 
how we had so many dramatic sharp rises in world temperatures revealed 
by ice cores before there were any Americans to drive gas-guzzling SUVs?

Stephen

Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
School of Engineering and Electronics
University of Edinburgh
Mayfield Road
Edinburgh EH9 3JL
Scotland
tel +44 131 650 5704
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Mobile  07795 203 195
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Alvia Gaskill wrote:
> http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16061-could-fertilising-trees-save-the-climate.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=climate-change
>  
> <http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16061-could-fertilising-trees-save-the-climate.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=climate-change>
>  
>
>
>   Could fertilising trees save the climate?
>
>     * 22:00 17 November 2008 by *Catherine Brahic*
>       <http://www.newscientist.com/search?rbauthors=Catherine+Brahic>
>     * For similar stories, visit the *Climate Change*
>       <http://www.newscientist.com/topic/climate-change> Topic Guide
>
> Should we "dope" trees with nitrogen fertiliser to engineer a cooler 
> global climate? New findings suggest the nutrient could be a switch 
> for determining how much solar energy forests in Earth's cooler 
> regions reflect back out into space.
>
> Scott Ollinger 
> <http://www.unh.edu/natural-resources/fac-ollinger.html> of the 
> University of New Hampshire, Durham, and colleagues measured the 
> concentrations of nitrogen in forest canopies in 181 plots across the 
> US, sampling trees that were anywhere from 15 to 500 years old.
>
> The team compared this data with satellite data of albedo - a measure 
> of how much solar energy is reflected by various surfaces - and data 
> on the amount of carbon absorbed by the forests.
>
> "The principal findings are that the nitrogen concentration of forest 
> canopies is a good predictor of their capacity to absorb carbon 
> dioxide, and that forests with high nitrogen levels reflect more solar 
> radiation than nitrogen-poor forests," says Ollinger.
>
> "A simplistic implication is that fertilising trees with nitrogen, or 
> simply planting trees that have naturally higher nitrogen 
> concentrations, might help offset climate change."
>
> While this is theoretically possible, Ollinger warns that more 
> research should be done "before we run around spraying trees with 
> nitrogen".
>
> For starters, the exact relationship between nitrogen and albedo 
> remains a mystery. Nitrogen could act like a switch, changing the 
> structure and cellular properties of leaves so that they become more 
> mirror-like. If this is the case, nitrogen fertilisation might work.
>
>
>       Doping downsides
>
> But if there is a correlation between the albedo of certain tree types 
> and the amount of nitrogen they hold, then governments would have to 
> plant species that naturally have high albedo in order to take 
> advantage of the effect.
>
> There could also be serious disadvantages to nitrogen doping. 
> "Increasing the amount of nitrogen in the environment can have its own 
> negative consequences, including leaching of nitrate to groundwater 
> and emissions of nitrous oxide - itself a greenhouse gas - from soils."
>
> Tree species that hold a lot of nitrogen also tend to need more water, 
> which means doping trees with nitrogen could contribute to drying up 
> streams and groundwater reservoirs. "This would be an undesirable 
> consequence in dry climates," says Ollinger.
>
> Federico Magnani of the University of Bologna in Italy says doping 
> trees with nitrogen is "what we have been doing for almost a century 
> now." In 2007, Magnani showed that industrial nitrogen pollution from 
> cars and fertilisers among others is driving trees to absorb more 
> carbon 
> <http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn12058-nitrogen-pollution-drives-trees-to-soak-up-more-cosub2sub.html>.
>
> "It is crucial that we fully understand what the effects are, both 
> positive and negative, so as to devise the best environmental policies 
> for the next century," say Magnani.
>
> Magnani and his colleagues have put a proposal forward to the European 
> Union to study nitrogen fertilisation and carbon uptake. The team 
> would like to look at the consequences of intentionally fertilising 
> forests with nitrogen and the possibility of locating new forest 
> plantations in areas where nitrogen pollution is already fertilising 
> ecosystems.
>
> Journal reference: /Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences/ 
> (DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0810021105)
>
>
> >


-- 

    


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