In  the presentations at the Royal Society on Tuesday 1st September there were 
several suggestions that geoenginering would reduce or stop the Indian monsoon. 
 This was also mentioned in some questions, answers or subsequent discussion 
that I was involved in.

 

My suggestion that this would be a result of global warming anyway was 
dismissed by one climate scientist so it was interesting to find the following 
in the Daily Telegraph last Saturday;

 

"Indian Monsoon Could Dry up

 

the torrential rains of India's monsoon could soon be a thing of the past after 
scientist said climate change is replacing the wet season with drought.

 

In a study of monsoon patterns in India over the past 150 years BN Goswami, the 
director of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, said global warming 
has made India's weather increasingly unpredictable.  He said there were longer 
dry spells and shorter sudden heavy showers." 



This fits with my general understanding that global warming will produce more 
violent storms but that in India, Africa and Sout America the overall result 
will be rainfall reduction and drought. I have felt that geoengineering should 
be able to reduce storm severity because of less extreme temperatures and 
eventually with experience and planning not impair the rainy season in all 
these places.



This is in line with a comment of Greg Benfold's some time ago that a slight 
reduction in total rainfall might not matter if we lost the storms rather than 
the background rain.  In India now we seem to be getting the opposite.



Who is right?



John Gorman

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