http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-012-0681-4

Is atmospheric carbon dioxide removal a game changer for climate
change mitigation?
Elmar Kriegler, Ottmar Edenhofer, Lena Reuster, Gunnar Luderer, David Klein

Abstract
The ability to directly remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
allows the decoupling of emissions and emissions control in space and
time. We ask the question whether this unique feature of carbon
dioxide removal technologies fundamentally alters the dynamics of
climate mitigation pathways. The analysis is performed in the coupled
energy-economy-climate model ReMIND using the bioenergy with CCS route
as an application of CDR technology. BECCS is arguably the least cost
CDR option if biomass availability is not a strongly limiting factor.
We compare mitigation pathways with and without BECCS to explore the
impact of CDR technologies on the mitigation portfolio. Effects are
most pronounced for stringent climate policies where BECCS is a key
technology for the effectiveness of carbon pricing policies. The
decoupling of emissions and emissions control allows prolonging the
use of fossil fuels in sectors that are difficult to decarbonize,
particularly in the transport sector. It also balances the
distribution of mitigation costs across future generations. CDR is not
a silver bullet technology. The largest part of emissions reductions
continues to be provided by direct mitigation measures at the
emissions source. The value of CDR lies in its flexibility to
alleviate the most costly constraints on mitigating emissions.

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