https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093129

Reversing Sahelian Droughts

Katharine Ricke, Detelina Ivanova, Taylor McKie, Maria Rugenstein

Abstract

Earth system modeling of climate geoengineering proposals suggests that the
physical outcomes of such interventions will depend on the particulars of
the implementation. Here, we present a first attempt to “geoengineer” a
well-known teleconnection between sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and
Sahelian precipitation. Using idealized earth system model simulations, we
show that selectively cooling the Indian Ocean efficiently increases
precipitation in the Sahel region, widening the seasonally migrating
rainband over Africa. Applying the SST perturbations derived from the
idealized experiments to observationally constrained historical ones, we
find that our intervention can reverse conditions as extreme as the
mid-20th century Sahelian drought, albeit less efficiently than in the
idealized simulations. Side effects include changes in the seasonal
distribution of Sahelian precipitation and substantial precipitation
reductions in sub-Saharan East Africa. This work represents a
proof-of-concept illustration of effects that might be expected with a
tailored, regional approach to climate intervention.

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